Prediction Edge
Democrat
Martin Heberling III

Martin Heberling III

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Ohio

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Live Odds — OH-05 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

15%chance to win

$12.9KMAY 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCouncil Member

PartyDemocratic

LocationOhio

BackgroundEducator

Notable personal detailsMartin Mathias Heberling III is a Democratic candidate who ran for U.S. House in Ohio’s 5th Congressional District in 2026. He has served as an Amherst City Council member at-large and has served on the Lorain County Children Services Board. He has described his work background as an educator and union leader and has held a leadership role with the Lorain County AFL-CIO.

SourcesShow
fec.govdocquery.fec.govheberlingforohio.comohioauditor.govrichlandsource.comboe.ohio.govthecandidate.comsanduskycountyoh.govboe.woodcountyohio.govkalshi.combluevoterguide.orgefoservices.fec.govtoledoblade.comsers.fec.govpublicnow.comen.wikipedia.orgusa.govarxiv.orgoberlinreview.orghuron.boe.ohio.govhouse.ohio.govohiolibertycoalition.comvindy.comcongress.govamherstohio.orghancockcountyohioelections.govpolicymattersohio.orgohiocapitaljournal.comvote.mahoningcountyoh.govcurrently.att.yahoo.comreddit.comchroniclet.comballotpedia.orgcleveland.comfacebook.comadvertiser-tribune.comthecourier.comballotready.orghistory.house.govenergy.senate.govde.wikipedia.orgvotesmart.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgstatic.votesmart.org

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Martin Heberling III is in the news because the Supreme Court is set to hear a case that could end mail-ballot grace periods in 14 states. The dispute could force states to change how late-arriving ballots are counted and may affect voters who rely on mail-in voting. The summaries do not provide any direct new action or statement from Heberling himself.

fec.gov+43
Articles
ADAnchorage Daily News6 months ago

Many states count mail ballots that arrive after Election Day. Those grace periods could go away

Neutral
TAThe Associated Press6 months ago

Supreme Court weighs whether to allow grace periods for mail ballots

Neutral

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.6K
$11.0K
$7.3K
$3.7K
$0

2022

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$14.6K
$0.00
$13.2K
$602.05

Cycle 2026

$10.9K
$130.11
$10.8K
$598.33

Source: FEC

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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