Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Mary Gay Scanlon

Mary Gay Scanlon

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania

Live Odds — PA-05 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

98.5%chance to win

$1.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age67 years old (Aug 30, 1959)

GenderFemale

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LocationPennsylvania

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., Colgate University (1980)

Notable personal detailsMary Gay Scanlon is an American attorney and Democratic politician who has represented Pennsylvania’s 5th Congressional District in the U.S. House since 2019, after first being sworn in following a November 2018 special election. She earned a B.A. from Colgate University and a J.D. from the University of Pennsylvania Law School. Before Congress, she worked as a lawyer including as national pro bono counsel at a major law firm, served at the Education Law Center of Pennsylvania, and served on the Wallingford-Swarthmore School Board (including as president).

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on corporations and the wealthiest to pay for expanded family and economic investments. Favors using tax policy to lower costs for working- and middle-class families while opposing tax breaks for billionaires and big business.

Healthcare

Mary Gay Scanlon supports universal healthcare and a transition toward Medicare for All. She also supports protecting and repairing the Affordable Care Act and backing a public option while working to lower prescription drug and care costs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports border security paired with humane treatment of migrants and asylum seekers. Has backed additional resources for relief at the border while opposing enforcement measures framed as abusive, including deportation-focused actions and a border bill that lacked protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mary Gay Scanlon supports codifying Roe v. Wade, restoring nationwide abortion protections, and protecting the right to travel for abortion care. She has also backed repeal of the Comstock Act and opposed efforts to restrict medication abortion and reproductive health decisions.

Climate & Energy

Mary Gay Scanlon has supported large-scale clean energy and climate investments, including funding for clean energy technologies, methane reduction, and climate justice programs. Her public record also includes support for the Paris climate agreement and repeated pro-environment votes.

Public Safety & Guns

Mary Gay Scanlon supports universal and enhanced background checks, extreme risk protection orders, bans on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, and tighter regulation of ghost guns. She also emphasizes community violence intervention, mental health response, and funding for law enforcement to investigate gun crimes.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.6M
$1.2M
$798.1K
$399.0K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.6M
$302.6K
$1.5M
$63.0K

Cycle 2024

$1.5M
$317.7K
$1.5M
$63.2K

Cycle 2026

$990.6K
$448.6K
$859.7K
$47.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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