Prediction Edge
Republican
Matt Dolan

Matt Dolan

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Ohio

Live Odds — Ohio Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.7%chance to win

$92.0KMAY 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

Age61 years old (Jan 12, 1965)

GenderMale

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LocationOhio

BackgroundAttorney

EducationBoston College, A.B. (History)

Notable personal detailsMatthew John Dolan is an American attorney and former Ohio legislator. He served in the Ohio Senate representing the 24th District (2017–2024) and previously served in the Ohio House of Representatives (2005–2010). He has worked in private practice and business, including as a partner at Thrasher, Dinsmore & Dolan and as vice president of 7th Avenue Properties. He earned an A.B. in History from Boston College and a J.D. from Case Western Reserve University School of Law.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax cuts and reductions in government regulation, including advocating lower corporate tax rates and enacting state-level tax reductions while chairing the Ohio Senate Finance Committee. Has sponsored or led legislation and budget measures described as reducing income and business taxes and creating tax credits to encourage job creation.

Healthcare

Matt Dolan opposes the Affordable Care Act, calling it "conceived wrongly, implemented poorly," and says he will fight for "commonsense healthcare policies" to control costs and expand access. As an Ohio legislator he sponsored pharmacy provider-status legislation and supported hospital funding and price-transparency measures while serving as chair of the Senate Finance Committee. His public statements position him against Obamacare and in favor of market-oriented, cost-control reforms rather than large public expansions like single‑payer care.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes securing and sealing the U.S. border, supports increased border patrol, more wall and technology, and a temporary closure to immigration while security is improved; he would exempt certain legal temporary workers but opposes amnesty.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Matt Dolan describes himself as pro-life while supporting exceptions for rape, incest, and to save the life of the pregnant person. He has said he prefers keeping abortion policy at the state level but would consider federal limits (including looking at bans on late-term abortions) depending on legislation. His campaign website and public statements endorse upholding the Hyde Amendment and reducing abortions through pro-life policies and support for pregnancy/family services.

Climate & Energy

Supports development of clean energy and protecting water resources while opposing heavy government mandates on energy; favors market-driven innovation and has criticized federal policies he calls a "war on energy."

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong Second Amendment protections and has voted for permitless (constitutional) carry and other measures expanding gun rights, while expressing limited support for some targeted mental-health–related restrictions. Opposes broad universal background-check mandates for private sales and frames enforcement changes as protecting lawful gun owners.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 16, 2026

Matt Dolan is in the news as Ohio’s 2026 Senate race becomes more competitive, with new analysis and forecasts moving the contest toward toss-up territory. Ohio’s primary field has also been set, putting him in the mix for the May election. More broadly, the race is drawing attention because Democrats see Ohio as one of their better pickup opportunities, while Republicans still have structural advantages.

electmattdolan.com+46

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$12.7M
$9.5M
$6.4M
$3.2M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$11.3M
$46.6K
$11.2M
$468.7K

Cycle 2024

$12.7M
$113.1K
$12.7M
$527.3K

Cycle 2026

$1.0K
$44.0K
$70.1K
$3.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements