Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Klein

Matt Klein

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Minnesota

Live Odds — MN-02 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$98.6KAUG 18, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

Age58 years old (Sep 29, 1967)

GenderMale

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LocationMinnesota

BackgroundPhysician

EducationHighland Park High School (1985)

Notable personal detailsMatthew David Klein is an American physician and politician who has served in the Minnesota Senate since 2017, representing Senate District 53 (previously District 52). He previously served on the School District 197 (West St. Paul–Mendota Heights–Eagan) school board. In 2025 he filed to run for the U.S. House in Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District (MN-02) as a Democrat.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax relief for working families and seniors (child tax credit expansion, property tax relief, elimination of tax on Social Security) and expansion of refundable credits; opposes tax cuts that primarily benefit the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable care through government-led measures including a public option and allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices; has championed prescription drug affordability measures and defends evidence-based public health and reproductive health protections.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate calls for ICE to leave and advocates for reducing congressional spending on ICE, framing enforcement reduction and oversight as priorities. He emphasizes seeking justice for Minnesotans whose rights were violated and placing guardrails on federal enforcement actions.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting reproductive health and abortion access, stating that decisions about pregnancy, contraception, and abortion belong between a patient and their doctor. He has defended reproductive rights in the legislature while saying he does not personally support elective late‑term abortions and would safeguard against them in practice, framing late‑term procedures as rare and typically for serious medical reasons.

Climate & Energy

Supports using 100% clean electricity in Minnesota by 2040, treats climate change as a crisis, and backs clean-water protections and tying climate action to labor and union job growth. Served on the state Energy, Utilities, Environment, and Climate committee and has promoted state-level clean energy and environmental protections.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks and using public-health data to study and reduce gun violence; backed legislation to allow courts or family to petition to remove firearms from individuals at risk. Emphasizes targeting dangerous individuals rather than blaming all gun owners.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Matt Klein is in the news because Kalshi said it fined and suspended him for five years after he bet on himself to win Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary. Klein acknowledged placing a $50 wager tied to his own campaign, and the company said this violated its election-market rules. The episode has drawn attention to prediction-market trading by candidates and the safeguards platforms are using to block it.

docquery.fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

MN-02 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Matt Klein currently averages 15.0%, ranking second in this race, 18.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 15.0%Position: secondMargin: -18.5 ptsLatest poll: 19.0% (May 27 - Jun 1)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 27 - Jun 1.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
15%
33.5%
14.5%
Matt Klein
M. Klein
Matt Little
M. Little
Kaela Berg
K. Berg
Date (Start - End)SpreadKleinLittleBerg
Polling Average
Little+18.5
15.0%33.5%14.5%
GQRMay 27 - Jun 1
Little+7.0
19.0%26.0%16.0%
Impact ResearchMay 18 - 20
Little+30.0
11.0%41.0%13.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.2M
$911.5K
$607.6K
$303.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$288.8K
$926.5K
$48.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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