Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Ortega

Matt Ortega

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Matt Ortega is trading at 0% to win the CA-14 special election winner on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleDigital strategist

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundDigital strategist

EducationUniversity of Arizona — B.A., Political Science (minor: History), 2006

Notable personal detailsMatt Ortega is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California’s 14th Congressional District. He is a digital and communications professional who has worked in Democratic politics, including roles with the Democratic consulting firm New Partners and the 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign. Ortega is a small business owner and union member who lives in San Leandro with his wife and two sons.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports taxing billionaires and raising revenues from wealthy Americans, expanding Social Security funding by removing the payroll tax cap, and backing large new social investments (Green New Deal, Medicare for All, universal child care, student-debt cancellation, and a $20 minimum wage). These proposals indicate advocacy for significant redistribution and expanded government spending funded in part by higher taxes on the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and expansion of access to healthcare, including measures to reduce costs, protect abortion access, and strengthen care for marginalized communities.

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Immigration & Border

Supports immigrants and frames immigration positively; emphasizes immigrant contributions to communities and family ties. Campaign materials include pro-immigrant messaging and biographical references to immigrant family members.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports establishing a national statutory right to abortion access, codifying protections for medication abortion and shielding FDA decisions, and opposes fetal personhood and criminalization of travel or those who assist in obtaining abortions. The campaign platform states abortion is healthcare and that decisions about family formation should not be made by legislators or judges.

Climate & Energy

Supports the Green New Deal and large federal investments in renewable energy, clean manufacturing, and retrofits; advocates national high-speed rail as a climate imperative and calls for a transition away from fossil fuels. The campaign declines corporate PAC and fossil-fuel money and endorses policy measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and create clean-energy jobs.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Matt Ortega is in the news because he is one of the candidates in California’s 14th Congressional District special election to fill the remainder of Eric Swalwell’s term. The race is moving through the special primary process, with the top candidates advancing unless someone wins outright, and an August 18 runoff is possible. Recent coverage has focused on the crowded field, vote-counting, and which candidates are leading, but Ortega’s specific standing is not clear from the summaries provided.

mattortega.com+48

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Binder Research
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Matt Ortega
M. Ortega
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Binder ResearchApr 4, 2026
2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$38.4K
$28.8K
$19.2K
$9.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$38.4K
$0.00
$38.4K
$2.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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