Prediction Edge
Democrat
Matt Rains

Matt Rains

Overview

Current roleU.S. Army officer (Captain)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

LocationMontana

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BackgroundU.S. Army officer (Captain)

EducationUnited States Military Academy at West Point — B.S., Systems Engineering (2002)

Notable personal detailsMatthew Rains is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Montana’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a U.S. Army veteran who served as an officer and flew Black Hawk helicopters, including service in Iraq, and later worked as an engineer and photographer before returning to ranching in Montana. He earned a B.S. in systems engineering from the United States Military Academy at West Point and an MBA from Washington University in St. Louis.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering costs for Montanans including bringing down food, housing, and property taxes while opposing tariffs that raise prices; also emphasizes protecting Medicaid and support for family farms and ranchers. Positions combine targeted tax relief with support for public programs, producing a mixed pattern on economy and taxes.

Healthcare

Supports protecting access to health care and rural hospitals and opposes cuts to Medicaid that would threaten rural clinics; calls for restoring Medicaid funding to keep clinics open and make health care affordable for Montanans.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Matt Rains is among the Democratic candidates in Montana drawing attention ahead of an upcoming debate, as the field starts to separate itself. His coverage comes as Montana politics shifts after Steve Daines announced his Senate retirement, which could reshape the 2026 race. Broader reporting says Democrats are facing a difficult path in Republican-leaning Senate contests and may need to moderate their message or back independents in some states.

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Polls

Upswing Research
50%40%30%20%10%0%
43%
Matt Rains
M. Rains
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Upswing ResearchMay 5, 2026
43.0%
Tulchin ResearchApr 1, 2026
5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Matt Rains for MT-01 Democratic nominee?

Tyler Gernant

Public figure

Tyler Gernant endorsed Matt Rains for Congress.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising