Prediction Edge
Independent
Mayra Macías

Mayra Macías

Independent candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-04 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$15.1KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical candidate

PartyIndependent

GenderFemale

LocationIllinois

BackgroundPolitical candidate

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Notable personal detailsMayra Macías is an Independent candidate for the U.S. House in Illinois' 4th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. She has been identified in election coverage and reference listings as a former executive director of the Latino Victory Project. Her principal campaign committee is registered with the Federal Election Commission as Mayra Macías for Congress.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

The candidate opposes aggressive immigration enforcement and supports protections for immigrant communities, including defending DACA recipients and calling for abolition of ICE. The campaign frames its immigration stance as opposing large-scale deportations and protecting Dreamers and families.

Climate & Energy

Supports addressing the climate crisis and elevating climate change and clean energy as priorities; favors clean energy investment and related climate action while not explicitly endorsing Green New Deal–level policies in available sources.

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports police accountability and community-led public safety reforms while opposing cooperation between local police and federal immigration enforcement. Emphasizes restoring trust in public institutions and centering community power in public safety responses.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 22, 2026

Mayra Macías was removed from the November ballot in Illinois’s 4th Congressional District after the state elections board found she did not have enough valid petition signatures. The ruling also kept fellow independent Byron Sigcho-Lopez off the ballot, leaving Patty Garcia in a stronger position in the race. Macías and the other affected candidates may still pursue legal challenges. Earlier, she had qualified for the ballot before the signature challenges were resolved.

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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