Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
11.5%
9%
5.4%
B. Cole
Republican
Trump Endorsed
Trump EndorsedMelissa Bailey
Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Hampshire
$5.5K
SEP 9, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — NH-01 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
1%chance to win
$5.5KSEP 9, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAuditing professional
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican
GenderFemale
LocationNew Hampshire
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BackgroundAuditing professional
EducationWake Forest University — B.S. Analytical Finance (2002)
Notable personal detailsMelissa Bailey is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She has served as vice chair of the Bedford Republican Committee. Her background includes work in auditing, accounting, and banking, and she has also been a homeschooling parent.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govnhpr.orgcitizenscount.orgbedfordrepublicans.orgmelissabailey4nh.comen.wikipedia.orgoppintell.comwmur.compolymarket.comthedartmouth.compatch.comnhjournal.compappas.house.govelectrepublicans.orgyenbaileyforcongress.commelissaforcongress.orgcbsnews.commelissabailey4congress.comwral.compolitifact.commelissagarffballard.commass.govbpr.orgmainemorningstar.comsenatorbailey.comnewdemocratcoalition.house.govsignalhire.comthewca.comvotemelissa4congress.commpcphysics.comlabusinessjournal.comhealthcare4ppl.comballotpedia.orggoogle.comseacoastonline.compredictionedge.comredarrowdiner.comfacebook.comx.comhouse.govdocquery.fec.govcongress.govgovinfo.govnga.orgdemocrats.senate.govclerk.house.govwhitehouse.senate.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports lower taxes, limited regulation, and reduced federal spending to rebuild the economy and reduce inflation; emphasizes returning to “smart fiscal leadership” and cutting red tape for small businesses. Advocates energy independence to lower costs for families and strengthen national security.
Immigration & Border
Supports securing the border and enforcing immigration laws, including codifying former President Trump’s border policies, keeping the border closed to illegal crossings, deporting violent criminals, and fully empowering ICE to enforce immigration laws.
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Climate & Energy
Supports pursuing energy independence and increasing domestic energy production to lower costs and strengthen national security; emphasizes limited regulation and lower taxes to support economic growth. Policy language focuses on bringing energy production 'back home' rather than endorsing aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style measures.
Latest Polls
NH-01 Republican nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Melissa Bailey currently averages 2.2%, ranking 4th in this race, 3.2 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 2.2%Position: 4thMargin: -3.2 ptsLatest poll: 2.0% (Jun 24 - 25)Polls included: 5
Average recalculated from polls through Jun 24 - 25.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
3NH-01 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$192.7K
$144.5K
$96.3K
$48.2K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$192.7K
$119.8K
$72.9K
$4.9K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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