Prediction Edge
Republican
Melissa Bailey

Overview

Current roleAuditing professional

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderFemale

LocationNew Hampshire

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BackgroundAuditing professional

EducationWake Forest University — B.S. Analytical Finance (2002)

Notable personal detailsMelissa Bailey is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She has served as vice chair of the Bedford Republican Committee. Her background includes work in auditing, accounting, and banking, and she has also been a homeschooling parent.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes, limited regulation, and reduced federal spending to rebuild the economy and reduce inflation; emphasizes returning to “smart fiscal leadership” and cutting red tape for small businesses. Advocates energy independence to lower costs for families and strengthen national security.

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the border and enforcing immigration laws, including codifying former President Trump’s border policies, keeping the border closed to illegal crossings, deporting violent criminals, and fully empowering ICE to enforce immigration laws.

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Climate & Energy

Supports pursuing energy independence and increasing domestic energy production to lower costs and strengthen national security; emphasizes limited regulation and lower taxes to support economic growth. Policy language focuses on bringing energy production 'back home' rather than endorsing aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style measures.

Polls

NH-01 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
11.5%
9%
5.4%
Melissa Bailey
M. Bailey
Hollie Noveletsky
H. Noveletsky
Anthony DiLorenzo
A. DiLorenzo
Brian D. Cole
B. Cole
Date (Start - End)SpreadBaileyNoveletskyDiLorenzoCole
Polling Average
Noveletsky+9.3
2.2%11.5%9.0%5.4%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25
Noveletsky+14.0
2.0%16.0%13.0%8.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19
Noveletsky+11.0
4.0%15.0%10.0%4.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterNov 18 - 19
Noveletsky+3.0
2.0%5.0%4.0%5.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Noveletsky+10.0
0.0%10.0%5.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterAug 26 - 27
Cole+2.0
3.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NH-01 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Melissa Bailey for NH-01 Republican nominee?

Top Republicans in Congress

Political organization

Top Republicans in Congress endorsed Melissa Bailey's campaign.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$192.7K
$144.5K
$96.3K
$48.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$192.7K
$119.8K
$72.9K
$4.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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