Prediction Edge
Democrat
Melissa Conyears Ervin

Melissa Conyears Ervin

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$67.2KMAR 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age51 years old (Aug 23, 1975)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationIllinois

BackgroundChicago City Treasurer

EducationEastern Illinois University (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsMelissa Conyears-Ervin is an American politician who has served as Chicago City Treasurer since 2019 and previously represented the 10th District in the Illinois House of Representatives (2017–2019). She has worked in the insurance industry, including roles with Allstate and CS Insurance Strategies. She earned a B.S. from Eastern Illinois University and an MBA from Roosevelt University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports closing tax loopholes and restoring higher income tax rates for wealthier taxpayers to ensure the wealthy pay a larger share; emphasizes equity and relief for working families while also promoting fiscal oversight to cut waste.

Healthcare

Supports treating health care as a right, defending and strengthening the Affordable Care Act, lowering out-of-pocket costs (including capping insulin and expanding Medicare drug-price negotiation), expanding mental-health and community clinic access, investing in maternal health, and protecting access to Medicaid and reproductive care.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports a humane, welcoming immigration system that includes a fair pathway to citizenship for undocumented immigrants, expanded legal supports and services for newcomers, and protections against politically motivated deportations and unconstitutional ICE activity while acknowledging the need for secure border controls implemented humanely. Advocates increased language access, legal aid, housing and employment assistance for immigrants and calls for background checks and efficient border security measures alongside reform.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion rights and federal protections for reproductive care, including codifying Roe v. Wade; as a state legislator she backed measures to expand abortion access through Medicaid and state employee health plans and she says she will protect access to contraception and IVF and oppose national abortion bans.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has taken actions to remove city investments from fossil-fuel companies and supported a city ordinance banning future city investments in coal, oil, and gas companies while framing divestment as part of moving toward a clean-energy future. The candidate has described divestment as fiscally prudent and aligned with addressing climate change.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports common-sense gun safety measures to remove illegal guns from the streets, strengthen police-community partnerships with accountability, and fund violence-prevention programs and youth jobs. Her campaign also says she has worked to stop investments in the gun industry as treasurer.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Melissa Conyears Ervin is in the news because she is a candidate in the Illinois Democratic primary, where outside spending and factional fights are shaping the race. Recent coverage says the broader primary environment has been marked by heavy super PAC involvement and a pushback against progressive candidates, with several Squad-backed contenders losing. The reporting does not give a clear, specific update on Conyears Ervin’s own campaign results or actions.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

IL-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Upswing Research
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
15%
23%
12%
10%
Melissa Conyears Ervin
M. Ervin
La Shawn Ford
L. Ford
Kina Collins
K. Collins
Jason Friedman
J. Friedman
Richard Boykin
R. Boykin
Thomas Fisher
T. Fisher
Reed Showalter
R. Showalter
Anthony Driver Jr.
A. Driver
Date (Start - End)SpreadErvinFordCollinsFriedmanBoykinFisherDriverShowalter
Upswing ResearchJan 7 - 10
Ford+8.0
15.0%23.0%12.0%10.0%4.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$824.9K
$618.6K
$412.4K
$206.2K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$738.8K
$8.7K
$730.1K
$30.4K

Cycle 2026

$824.9K
$34.8K
$798.8K
$53.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements