Prediction Edge
Democrat
Melissa McDonough

Melissa McDonough

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Melissa McDonough is trading at 99% to win the TX-38 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate’s campaign materials emphasize protecting Social Security, expanding access to healthcare (including support for Medicare for All and Medicaid expansion), addressing inflation, and supporting affordable housing and homeowner tax deductions. The campaign site discusses pro-consumer and pro-renewable energy economic priorities but does not state explicit positions on tax rate changes for high-income earners or corporations.

Healthcare

The candidate supports universal healthcare and has indicated support for Medicare for All. She advocates expanding Medicaid and using federal dollars to fund health clinics in public schools to increase access to care. These positions prioritize government-led expansions of coverage and services.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a humane, welcoming immigration system that expands legal supports for newcomers, provides public legal and settlement assistance, protects against unconstitutional ICE actions and politically-motivated deportations, and increases services for economic integration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports full bodily autonomy and federal protections for reproductive healthcare, including access to family planning, IVF, and abortion care; opposes imposing religious or personal preferences that restrict access to reproductive services. Commits to fighting in Congress to protect and ensure ready access to reproductive healthcare and choice.

Climate & Energy

Supports renewable energy innovation alongside continued use of petroleum as part of a managed transition; favors using renewables in conjunction with fossil fuels to stabilize the grid and mitigate environmental harm. Endorses transitioning to renewable-energy jobs as part of economic policy.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports responsible gun ownership and policies to reduce mass shootings while respecting the Second Amendment; she calls for promoting gun safety and addressing the mental-health crisis rather than an outright ban. Her campaign platform emphasizes protecting children and stopping mass shootings through “common sense” gun-safety measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Melissa McDonough is now set to face Jon Bonck in the general election for Texas’s 38th Congressional District after he won the Republican runoff. The district is considered strongly Republican, so the race is being watched mainly as an open-seat contest. Recent coverage does not add much else about McDonough herself, and some related Texas runoff stories do not mention her directly.

fec.gov+43

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$193.0K
$144.8K
$96.5K
$48.3K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$193.0K
$22.7K
$172.1K
$7.2K

Cycle 2026

$47.9K
$37.3K
$33.3K
$2.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements