Prediction Edge
Republican
Melissa Toomim

Melissa Toomim

Republican candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-36 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$1.3KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleInvestigative journalist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundInvestigative journalist

Notable personal detailsLeah Melissa Toomim is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in California's 36th Congressional District. She has run for Congress in prior cycles and has been listed on the California Secretary of State’s 2024 general election candidate roster for CA-36 with the ballot designation “Investigative Journalist.” She has an authorized principal campaign committee, Toomim for Congress, registered with the Federal Election Commission.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering tax burdens and using tax incentives to bring industry and manufacturing back to the U.S., favors replacing the income tax with a national sales tax, and criticizes high taxation and government spending inefficiencies. Advocates audits of programs before additional appropriations and reducing regulatory barriers to encourage reshoring and investment.

Healthcare

The candidate supports keeping Medicare and Medicaid but opposes creating new taxpayer-funded universal healthcare programs and penalties to enforce universal insurance. The candidate opposes government, school, or employer vaccine mandates under any circumstance.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports securing the southern border while also backing managed immigration reforms and a pathway to citizenship for long-term undocumented residents. She emphasizes humane, lawful immigration systems with due process protections and oversight of enforcement agencies.

Climate & Energy

The candidate rejects mainstream climate science, stating opposition to the idea that man-made climate change is a global threat and criticizing climate funding. She promotes nuclear power as the preferred energy source and characterizes climate policies as part of an agenda she opposes. These positions indicate skepticism of aggressive emissions regulation and support for expanded fossil-free nuclear energy rather than Green New Deal–style policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 14, 2026

Melissa Toomim is being mentioned in coverage about House Democrats weighing more aggressive redistricting plans ahead of the 2028 elections. The discussion comes after court rulings blocked or weakened maps Democrats had hoped would help them gain seats. The reports say party leaders are looking at several states as they consider their next move.

fec.gov+46

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$41.7K
$31.3K
$20.9K
$10.4K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$32.4K
$147.93
$32.2K
$1.3K

Cycle 2024

$41.7K
$618.25
$41.3K
$1.7K

Cycle 2026

$31.0K
$3.6K
$38.2K
$2.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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