Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael Alfonso

Michael Alfonso

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Wisconsin

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Michael Alfonso is trading at 100% to win the WI-07 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleConstruction and concrete industry worker

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationWisconsin

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BackgroundConstruction and concrete industry worker

EducationUniversity of Wisconsin–Madison (B.S., Mathematics)

Notable personal detailsMichael Alfonso is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He is a University of Wisconsin–Madison graduate with a B.S. in Mathematics and has worked in construction and concrete. He later worked in media as a producer for The Dan Bongino Show and is married to Evita Duffy.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing the size of government, rein in spending, and cutting regulatory burdens to help families and farms; favors stopping what he calls wasteful foreign spending and returning power to states. Positions emphasize fiscal restraint and pro-growth, limited-government economic approaches rather than tax increases or expanded redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports lowering health care costs through increased price transparency and patient-centered reforms while reducing federal involvement and returning authority to states. Emphasizes prioritizing patients over bureaucrats and insurers rather than expanding federal entitlement programs.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and tighter immigration controls, arguing mass immigration (including H‑1B programs) harms American workers and undercuts wages. Campaign materials say he will “keep our border secure” and prioritize stopping migrant crime while reforming immigration to serve American citizens’ interests.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a right-to-life position from conception and opposes abortion access; strongly opposes expansion of mail-in abortion pills and rejects assisted suicide.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding domestic energy production and describes advancing “American energy dominance” while also endorsing stewardship of public lands and waters. Emphasizes energy growth and reduced regulation as part of an economic and ‘America First’ agenda. Statements focus on promoting fossil fuel production and domestic energy rather than aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate explicitly frames the Second Amendment as non-negotiable, states he will protect it from weakening, and endorses constitutional carry and the right to self-defense. His campaign materials emphasize defending the Second Amendment and opposing measures that would limit gun rights.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 12, 2026

Michael Alfonso has won the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District and will face Democrat Fred Clark in the November general election. He entered the race with endorsements from Donald Trump and other GOP leaders, and his primary win came after a competitive field. The district has been held by Republicans for 15 years and is considered safely Republican, though the race drew attention because of criticism over his experience and family ties.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

TIPP Insights
40%30%20%10%0%
31%
Michael Alfonso
M. Alfonso
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
TIPP InsightsJul 12, 2026
31.0%
TIPP InsightsMay 1, 2026
35.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$675.8K
$337.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$663.4K
$688.1K
$36.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements