Prediction Edge
Democrat
Michael Barkley

Michael Barkley

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-05 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$21.7KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age80 years old (Oct 27, 1945)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundAttorney

Notable personal detailsMichael James “Mike” Barkley is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California’s 5th Congressional District. He has run for Congress multiple times and has described his background as including law, accounting (CPA), computer programming, small business ownership, ranching, activism, and U.S. Navy service. He is based in Manteca, California.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reversing the 2017 'billionaire' tax cut, restoring tax provisions that favor lower-income housing and renters, and proposes Medicare for All alongside budget-balancing measures. Also advocates tax changes such as restoring income averaging for personal income taxes.

Immigration & Border

Supports the Senate bipartisan border bill as written and expresses preference for Bernie Sanders’ 2016 immigration proposals, which emphasized expanded legal pathways and a pathway to citizenship.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports reproductive rights and the right to choose, says the Dobbs decision was wrongly decided and opposes a national ban on abortion. He stated California can accommodate out-of-state patients seeking abortion care and urged opposition to policies that would spread Dobbs’s effects nationwide.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports addressing climate change (lists “Reverse global warming” among major goals) and emphasizes water policy and flood/drought solutions for California, including detailed proposals on water storage and conveyance to adapt to extreme events. Positions emphasize climate mitigation and infrastructure/adaptation rather than explicitly endorsing Green New Deal–style phase-outs of fossil fuels or radical regulatory measures.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports repealing the Second Amendment and significant new restrictions on firearms, including proposals that would tax and penalize firearms ownership to reduce proliferation. The candidate describes firearms as a privilege rather than an inherent right and advocates strong measures to address gun violence.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Michael Barkley is in the news as a candidate, but the provided summaries do not clearly identify any direct recent action, statement, or election result involving him. Most of the items are about other races, redistricting fights, or election-law issues that may affect the broader political environment. Based on the available information, his specific recent developments are unclear.

fec.gov+41

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$461.7K
$346.3K
$230.8K
$115.4K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$461.7K
$78.23
$462.0K
$19.3K

Cycle 2024

$86.7K
$4.7K
$82.1K
$3.4K

Cycle 2026

$57.2K
$3.2K
$58.7K
$3.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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