Prediction Edge
Democrat
Michael Black Wolf

Michael Black Wolf

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana

Live Odds — Montana Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1.8%chance to win

$26.8KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTribal Historic Preservation Officer (Fort Belknap Indian Community)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationMontana

BackgroundTribal Historic Preservation Officer (Fort Belknap Indian Community)

Show more

EducationAaniiih Nakoda College (environmental science program)

Notable personal detailsMichael James Black Wolf is a Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Montana (2026 cycle). He is a preservation officer and community leader from the Fort Belknap Indian Community and has worked as the Fort Belknap Tribal Historic Preservation Officer. He has also been associated with natural resources work at Fort Belknap, including roles such as wildlife technician and buffalo program manager.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to affordable rural and Tribal healthcare through measures such as expanded telehealth, increased funding for rural hospitals and clinics, and protections for affordable prescription drug programs.

Immigration & Border

The candidate has publicly defended birthright citizenship and criticized proposals to end or narrow it. His campaign materials emphasize respect for Tribal sovereignty but do not provide detailed immigration-policy proposals on the campaign site.

Show more

Climate & Energy

Supports protecting Montana’s land, water, and wildlife and promoting renewable energy while also endorsing responsible resource development and jobs tied to natural resources. Positions emphasize conservation and balanced policies that pair renewable energy promotion with continued resource use without specific aggressive emissions targets or calls to phase out fossil fuels.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Michael Black Wolf is in the news because he is part of the crowded Montana Democratic Senate primary, where the party is trying to steer voters away from a candidate tied to sexual abuse allegations against a state senator. The race has also drawn heavy outside spending, with two PACs pushing total outside money in the contest to $5 million. Separately, Montana courts have kept same-day Election Day registration in place for federal races, which will affect the rules for the Senate election.

fec.gov+45

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$26.1K
$19.6K
$13.1K
$6.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$26.1K
$527.79
$25.6K
$1.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements