Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael Bouchard Jr.

Michael Bouchard Jr.

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Michigan

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Michael Bouchard Jr. is trading at 65% to win the MI-10 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMichigan

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BackgroundU.S. Army officer

EducationMichigan State University (ROTC program)

Notable personal detailsMichael Bouchard is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Michigan’s 10th Congressional District (2026 cycle). He is an Army captain and paratrooper with service including a deployment to Iraq, and he has served in the 82nd and 101st Airborne Divisions. He is a graduate of Michigan State University’s ROTC program and has held leadership roles in the Michigan Army National Guard and joint task force operations.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering tax rates by broadening the tax base and reducing government spending; has proposed budget cuts and reforms to reduce taxpayer burden.

Healthcare

Supports reforms to improve healthcare delivery for veterans, including improving efficiency and access at the Department of Veterans Affairs; no clear public record found on broader positions such as the Affordable Care Act, Medicare expansion, or market-based health reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Michael Bouchard emphasizes border security and lists immigration as a principal campaign focus, drawing on his military service that included missions to the southern border. His campaign messaging centers on stronger border enforcement alongside other Republican priorities.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate, Michael (Mike) Bouchard, emphasizes enforcing existing gun laws and prosecuting weapons-related crimes rather than creating additional gun restrictions, while affirming support for law enforcement and lawful gun ownership. Public statements indicate skepticism about new gun legislation following mass shootings and a focus on criminal accountability.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 8, 2026

Michael Bouchard Jr. won the Republican primary in Michigan’s 10th Congressional District and will face Democrat Christina Hines in the November general election. His campaign has been boosted by Donald Trump’s endorsement, and the district is expected to be a competitive race that Republicans are favored to hold. Bouchard is also emphasizing crime, public safety, affordability, and immigration as key campaign issues. He recently criticized Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed after El-Sayed’s narrow primary win, saying it does not show broad support for socialism in Michigan.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$737.0K
$368.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.5M
$1.0M
$458.9K
$24.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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