Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael Carbonara

Overview

Current roleEntrepreneur

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

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BackgroundEntrepreneur

Notable personal detailsMichael Carbonara is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Florida and has been a declared candidate for the 2026 cycle. He is a South Florida entrepreneur with a career in finance and technology, and has been described publicly as a businessman and entrepreneur. He has an active principal campaign committee registered with the Federal Election Commission.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering taxes and reducing government bureaucracy, emphasizing relief for families facing inflation, high taxes, and regulatory burden. Frames his economic approach around private-sector experience and reducing government interference to help working families and businesses.

Healthcare

The candidate lists healthcare and "affordable healthcare" among his policy priorities and publishes explanatory materials about Medicare, Medicaid, and the ACA, but does not articulate a clear, specific policy prescription (for example: support for Medicare for All, a public option, Medicaid expansion, or full ACA repeal).

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes securing U.S. borders against illegal immigration, cracking down on criminals, drugs, and human trafficking, and supporting law enforcement. He also endorses a merit-based legal immigration policy that prioritizes an "America first" approach. These positions prioritize stronger enforcement while allowing for regulated legal immigration reforms.

Climate & Energy

The candidate’s campaign materials and blog posts mention climate impacts, resilience, and environmental responsibility but do not set out specific climate or energy policies (no targets, phasing plans, or regulatory positions). Public materials emphasize economic growth and local quality-of-life issues while noting climate and household energy choices as considerations rather than concrete legislative proposals.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate’s campaign site frames gun policy through a strong Second Amendment and Bruen-centered legal lens, emphasizing protection of gun rights and explaining how recent court decisions limit the scope for new restrictions. Public materials focus on preserving constitutional gun rights and informing readers about limits on regulation rather than proposing expanded federal gun-control measures.

Latest Insights

FL-22 Republican nominee?

20d

Michael Carbonara’s Republican-nominee market for FL-22 has fallen to 0.57 from 0.80 yesterday, while recent public reporting says Dan Franzese won the GOP nomination. That gap makes Carbonara a live repricing candidate rather than a settled favorite.

57%0%

FL-22 Republican nominee?

20d

Michael Carbonara’s Republican-nominee price in FL-22 is back at 0.78 after a sharp intraday rebound, and AP-reported results now show another candidate, Dan Franzese, winning the nomination. That makes Carbonara’s market still tradable only as a live repricing signal against new public reporting, not as a settled favorite.

78%15%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Michael Carbonara is in the news for self-funding his Florida congressional campaign by selling 10 Bitcoin for about $800,000 in USDC. Reports say he is putting most of his own money into the bid in Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd District. He is also promoting pro-crypto and blockchain transparency themes as part of the campaign.

fec.gov+24

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.5M
$1.9M
$1.3M
$631.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.5M
$633.2K
$1.9M
$126.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements