FL-22 Republican nominee?
2dMichael Carbonara is now at 46% and leads by 9.0 points in the FL-22 Republican nominee race.
46%
Republican
Michael Carbonara
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
$250.6K
AUG 25, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-22 Republican nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
54%chance to win
$250.6KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleEntrepreneur
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
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BackgroundEntrepreneur
EducationUlster County Community College — Associate degree, Business Administration
Notable personal detailsMichael Carbonara is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is an entrepreneur with experience in finance and technology and has founded fintech and other businesses. He moved to Florida in 2012 and is based in South Florida. He is married and has two children.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govdos.elections.myflorida.commichaelcarbonara.comwikidata.orgglobenewswire.comdocquery.fec.govfundvoter.orgfec.state.fl.usen.wikipedia.orgco.burlington.nj.usarxiv.orgfloridianpress.comminnesotapoliticstoday.comnationaltoday.comhoodline.comamericantechtoday.comwcmu.orgthehill.comclubforgrowth.orgflvoicenews.comfloridapolitics.comfinance.yahoo.compalmbeachpost.comcbsnews.combitcoinworld.co.inivoterguide.comwlrn.orgballotpedia.orginstagram.comfacebook.comvotesmart.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orghistory.house.govdata.ballotpedia.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgballotready.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports lowering taxes and reducing government bureaucracy, emphasizing relief for families facing inflation, high taxes, and regulatory burden. Frames his economic approach around private-sector experience and reducing government interference to help working families and businesses.
Healthcare
The candidate lists healthcare and "affordable healthcare" among his policy priorities and publishes explanatory materials about Medicare, Medicaid, and the ACA, but does not articulate a clear, specific policy prescription (for example: support for Medicare for All, a public option, Medicaid expansion, or full ACA repeal).
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Immigration & Border
The candidate emphasizes securing U.S. borders against illegal immigration, cracking down on criminals, drugs, and human trafficking, and supporting law enforcement. He also endorses a merit-based legal immigration policy that prioritizes an "America first" approach. These positions prioritize stronger enforcement while allowing for regulated legal immigration reforms.
Climate & Energy
The candidate’s campaign materials and blog posts mention climate impacts, resilience, and environmental responsibility but do not set out specific climate or energy policies (no targets, phasing plans, or regulatory positions). Public materials emphasize economic growth and local quality-of-life issues while noting climate and household energy choices as considerations rather than concrete legislative proposals.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate’s campaign site frames gun policy through a strong Second Amendment and Bruen-centered legal lens, emphasizing protection of gun rights and explaining how recent court decisions limit the scope for new restrictions. Public materials focus on preserving constitutional gun rights and informing readers about limits on regulation rather than proposing expanded federal gun-control measures.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
FL-22 Republican nominee?
3dMichael Carbonara has raised $6,332,572.73 this cycle, but David Burck holds the lead in the latest odds for "FL-22 Republican nominee?"
34%
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 1, 2026
Michael Carbonara is in the news for his Florida congressional campaign, where he has been self-funding heavily and recently sold 10 Bitcoin to raise about $800,000 for the race. He is also promoting pro-crypto and blockchain transparency themes while running in Florida’s newly redrawn 22nd District. More recently, he defended bitcoin mining and data centers at a candidate forum, even as he said he opposes a proposed Palm Beach data center project. His comments and business ties to a bitcoin mine have drawn scrutiny in the crowded Republican primary.
fec.gov+37
Articles
ESEUROPE SAYS14 days ago
Michael Carbonara says he opposes local data center, but his actions say otherwise
Neutral
DDecrypt3 months ago
Florida Candidate Liquidates $800K in Bitcoin to Bankroll Congressional Bid
Neutral
DDecrypt2 months ago
Morning Minute: HYPE Soars as CFTC Gives Perps Green Light
Neutral
NNewsweek28 days ago
Map Shows Where Democrats Massively Outraising Republican Incumbents
Neutral
Latest Polls
FL-22 Republican nominee?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
11.4%
13.1%
8.7%
5.6%
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
18FL-22 Republican nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$6.3M
$4.7M
$3.2M
$1.6M
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$6.3M
$36.6K
$6.3M
$331.4K
Source: FEC