Prediction Edge
Democrat
Michael Kirwan

Michael Kirwan

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-04 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$33.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

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Notable personal detailsMichael Kirwan is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 4th Congressional District. He is a Jacksonville native and an attorney, including serving as a partner at Foley & Lardner. He has held local civic roles in Jacksonville including work related to the city’s ethics code and chairing Jacksonville’s Ethics Commission, and has been involved with civic and business organizations in Northeast Florida.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax fairness measures including eliminating loopholes that allow billionaires to pay lower rates than average taxpayers, restoring and properly funding the IRS, and increasing employer payroll contributions to shore up Social Security and Medicare funding.

Healthcare

Supports strengthening and fully funding primary care to lower costs, expanding mental-health services and access to VA care while opposing VA privatization, and affirms that women must have the right to good health care. No advocacy for single-payer or full privatization is stated on campaign materials.

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Immigration & Border

Supports controlling the border while expanding legal pathways and asylum protections; endorses a pathway to citizenship for immigrants who are part of communities; criticizes aggressive ICE tactics and calls for restraint in enforcement practices.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports acknowledging climate change, restoring sensible environmental regulations, protecting parks, and encouraging sustainable business practices and renewable energy. He frames support for clean energy and environmental protection alongside efforts to streamline regulatory approvals for construction projects.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Michael Kirwan is being mentioned in coverage of a broader wave of Democratic primary challenges, where left-wing candidates are pressuring incumbents in several races. The summaries do not provide any specific recent action, result, or statement involving Kirwan himself. Based on the available information, his current news relevance is unclear and appears tied to the wider primary environment.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+43

Latest Polls

FL-04 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

The Tyson Group
50%40%30%20%10%0%
11%
41%
Michael Kirwan
M. Kirwan
LaShonda Holloway
L. Holloway
Brittney Robinson
B. Robinson
Date (Start - End)SpreadKirwanHollowayRobinson
The Tyson GroupJul 15 - 15
Holloway+30.0
11.0%41.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$742.7K
$557.0K
$371.3K
$185.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$742.7K
$162.6K
$580.1K
$30.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements