FL-04 Democratic nominee?
23dKirwan’s win probability dropped from 58% to 83% in the last hour, with heavy trading volume in the market. That kind of fast repricing is actionable for traders even without a confirmed external catalyst.
83%25%
FL-04 Democratic nominee?
$7.1K
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Overview
Current roleAttorney (securities/capital markets)
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
GenderMale
LocationFlorida
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BackgroundAttorney (securities/capital markets)
EducationDuke University
Notable personal detailsMichael Kirwan is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 4th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a Jacksonville-based securities attorney and has served in civic leadership roles including chair of Jacksonville’s Ethics Commission and president of Scenic Jacksonville. He attended Duke University and Harvard Law School, and has been involved in community organizations and local nonprofit boards.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govdocquery.fec.govdos.elections.myflorida.comvotekirwan.comfoley.comen.wikipedia.orgisidewith.comblueturnout.comgovbase.comwhoboughtmyrep.comballotready.orgthecandidate.comreadthedonation.comdos.fl.govstandwithcrypto.orgmontgomerycountypa.govtransition.fec.govarxiv.orgnews.wjct.orgpolitifact.comlinktr.eequiverquant.comvotehillsborough.govcongress.govfl-counties.comufdcimages.uflib.ufl.edujustfacts.votesmart.orgvotesmart.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgfrontpage.ballotpedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgstatic.votesmart.orgcbsnews.comseattletimes.combean.house.govjudiciary.house.govarmedservices.house.govziplook.house.gov
Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax fairness measures including eliminating loopholes that allow billionaires to pay lower rates than average taxpayers, restoring and properly funding the IRS, and increasing employer payroll contributions to shore up Social Security and Medicare funding.
Healthcare
Supports strengthening and fully funding primary care to lower costs, expanding mental-health services and access to VA care while opposing VA privatization, and affirms that women must have the right to good health care. No advocacy for single-payer or full privatization is stated on campaign materials.
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Immigration & Border
Supports controlling the border while expanding legal pathways and asylum protections; endorses a pathway to citizenship for immigrants who are part of communities; criticizes aggressive ICE tactics and calls for restraint in enforcement practices.
Climate & Energy
The candidate supports acknowledging climate change, restoring sensible environmental regulations, protecting parks, and encouraging sustainable business practices and renewable energy. He frames support for clean energy and environmental protection alongside efforts to streamline regulatory approvals for construction projects.
Latest Insights
Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Total raisedCash on hand
$511.7K
$383.8K
$255.8K
$127.9K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$511.7K
$226.5K
$285.2K
$19.0K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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