NJ-03 Republican nominee?
7dMcGuire’s Republican nomination is now effectively locked in after Tuesday’s primary result, making the remaining nominee market mainly a resolution-risk check rather than a live contest.
83%16%
Republican
Michael McGuire
Republican
Michael McGuire
NJ-03 Republican nominee?
$7.0K
JUN 3, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Overview
Current roleAttorney
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
LocationNew Jersey
BackgroundAttorney
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Notable personal detailsMichael Patrick McGuire is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District (NJ-03) in the 2026 election cycle. He has been described as a U.S. Marine Corps veteran, a former New York Police Department officer, and a family law and divorce attorney. His campaign committee is registered with the FEC as Friends of Michael McGuire.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govnewjerseyglobe.comwhyy.orgnj.govballotready.orgen.wikipedia.orgbluevoterguide.orgcentraljerseywire.comthecandidate.compolymarket.comfspolitics.comco.burlington.nj.usmedia.newjerseyglobe.comdocquery.fec.govcollaborationtrenton.comarxiv.orgmichaelmcguireforcongress.comgloucestercitynews.netsenatormikemcguire.comnewjerseymonitor.comvotemikemcguire.comeconomyborough.orgnatptax.comobserver.compolitics1.comgothamist.comtransparencyusa.orgnorthvalegop.comaxios.comapnews.comabcnews.go.comcbsnews.comseattletimes.comfoxnews.comhistory.house.govarmedservices.house.govprogressives.house.govmcguire.house.govwikidata.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.govnorcross.house.govcastor.house.govziplook.house.govclerk.house.govfrontpage.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgfinance.senate.gov
Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports cutting wasteful government spending and lowering the tax burden on middle- and working-class families to restore affordability and economic security. Prioritizes reducing government-driven cost pressures rather than expanding taxes or redistributive programs.
Healthcare
The candidate emphasizes improving veterans' health care and access to mental health services and frames healthcare affordability as part of a broader cost-of-living agenda. Public materials do not articulate a clear position on the Affordable Care Act, a public option, Medicare expansion, or market-based reforms.
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Climate & Energy
Michael McGuire’s campaign materials mention “higher energy prices” as part of an affordability crisis and emphasize cutting government spending to lower costs, but do not set out specific climate or energy policies (no emissions targets, renewable/ fossil-fuel stance, or regulatory positions are listed).
Latest Insights
NJ-03 Republican nominee?
7dMichael McGuire’s Republican nomination price in NJ-03 jumped sharply intraday and then settled near 83%, signaling continued live repricing in a three-way primary that traders should keep watching ahead of the June 2 vote.
83%16%
NJ-03 Republican nominee?
15dMcGuire’s Republican nomination probability in NJ-03 jumped from 69% yesterday to 96% intraday, then settled near 82%, a large move in a live primary market that traders should treat as a real repricing rather than noise.
66%30%
News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 9, 2026
Michael McGuire is running for the Republican nomination in New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. In a campaign profile, he highlighted his background in the Marine Corps, Naval Reserve, NYPD, and law, and said he wants to support Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst and middle-class affordability. There is no reported nomination result yet.
fec.gov+46
Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Total raisedCash on hand
$70.5K
$52.9K
$35.3K
$17.6K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$70.5K
$3.8K
$66.7K
$3.9K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Polls
- Endorsements