Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael McGuire

Michael McGuire

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Michael McGuire is trading at 36% to win the NJ-03 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundAttorney

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EducationTouro Law School (J.D.)

Notable personal detailsMichael Patrick McGuire is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is an attorney based in Freehold, New Jersey, and has been described as a former New York City police officer and a U.S. Marine Corps veteran. He was reported as the winner of the Republican primary for NJ-03 held on June 2, 2026, and advanced to the general election against incumbent Rep. Herb Conaway.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting wasteful government spending and lowering the tax burden on middle- and working-class families to restore affordability and economic security. Prioritizes reducing government-driven cost pressures rather than expanding taxes or redistributive programs.

Healthcare

The candidate emphasizes improving veterans' health care and access to mental health services and frames healthcare affordability as part of a broader cost-of-living agenda. Public materials do not articulate a clear position on the Affordable Care Act, a public option, Medicare expansion, or market-based reforms.

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Climate & Energy

Michael McGuire’s campaign materials mention “higher energy prices” as part of an affordability crisis and emphasize cutting government spending to lower costs, but do not set out specific climate or energy policies (no emissions targets, renewable/ fossil-fuel stance, or regulatory positions are listed).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Michael McGuire is running for the Republican nomination in New Jersey’s 3rd Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. In a campaign profile, he highlighted his Marine Corps, Naval Reserve, NYPD, and legal background, and said his priorities include supporting Joint Base McGuire-Dix-Lakehurst and improving middle-class affordability. There is no reported nomination result yet.

fec.gov+42

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$79.2K
$59.4K
$39.6K
$19.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$79.2K
$807.29
$78.4K
$4.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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