Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

IL-02 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Michael Noack

    Will Republican win the House race for IL-02?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:35 AM UTC

Republican
Michael Noack

Michael Noack

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

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Saved odds — IL-02 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.8%chance to win

$1.5KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleTruck driver

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationIllinois

BackgroundTruck driver

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Notable personal detailsMichael Scott “Mike” Noack is a Republican political candidate who ran for U.S. House in Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He formed an authorized principal campaign committee, The Committee to Elect Michael Scott Noack for Congress, and filed a Statement of Candidacy with the FEC. His campaign describes him as a truck driver living in Bonfield, Illinois, and states he has lived in Kankakee County for decades.

SourcesShow
fec.govdocquery.fec.govnoack4congress.comballotready.orgwebforms.fec.govelections.il.govkalshi.comefilingapps.fec.govrockislandcountyil.govdos.elections.myflorida.comvercounty.orgillinoisfamily.orgen.wikipedia.orgw.twstalker.comivoterguide.comirishpokertour.comcroillinois.comsimplecontacts.comecf.mnb.uscourts.govmichaelforny.commichaelfororegonsenate.commichaelnaft.commichaelforhowell.comwbez.orgnorthernpublicradio.orgwillcountygop.orgillinois.gopwendishheritage.org.auaviewfromthiswilderness.comillinoisrighttolifeaction.orghpherald.comfacebook.comabc7chicago.compbs.orgnbcchicago.comballotpedia.orgnews.wttw.comchicago.suntimes.comnytimes.comwuft.orggovinfo.govdemocrats-edworkforce.house.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports affordable healthcare while opposing a socialized system; proposes removing corporate profit motives by moving providers and insurers to nonprofit models rather than expanding government-run coverage.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Michael Noack is being mentioned in coverage of the 2026 election cycle, but the provided summaries do not give any clear, specific update about his own campaign. The news mostly focuses on broader issues like redistricting, campaign finance, and primary-election tactics rather than concrete developments involving him. Based on the available information, it is unclear what recent event is driving attention to Noack specifically.

fec.gov+41
Articles
BDBangor Daily News6 months ago

Maine has a crowded June primary. Ranked-choice voting will prevent spoilers.

Neutral
HHuffPost6 months ago

Democrats Embrace Anti-Corruption Messaging En Masse

Neutral
PPOLITICO5 months ago

Secretive super PAC funding is skyrocketing in primaries

Neutral
WEWashington Examiner5 months ago

Democrat Amy Acton runs on medical debt forgiveness in Ohio governor's race

Neutral

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