Prediction Edge
MP

Michael Pakko

Live Odds — Arkansas Secretary of State winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEconomist

Political ideologyLibertarian

GenderMale

LocationArkansas

BackgroundEconomist

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EducationB.A., Michigan State University (1984)

Notable personal detailsMichael R. Pakko is an American economist based in Arkansas and the Libertarian nominee for Arkansas Secretary of State in the November 3, 2026 general election. He serves as Chief Economist and State Economic Forecaster at the Arkansas Economic Development Institute at the University of Arkansas at Little Rock. He previously worked as a research economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis and has been chair of the Libertarian Party of Arkansas since 2015.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Michael Pakko presents himself as a Libertarian and says his views align with individual liberty, limited government, and a free-market economy. His campaign says the role of government should be restrained and that he would advocate for limited government rather than expansive economic intervention.

Immigration & Border

Supports more border security, but rejects fences, walls, and military force as the solution. Emphasizes expanding legal immigration options and views that as the best way to secure the border.

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Climate & Energy

His available questionnaire response recognizes climate change as real and calls for urgent policy action. The material does not provide specific climate or energy policy proposals beyond that general stance.

Public Safety & Guns

Michael Pakko says no restrictions on gun ownership are needed to protect public safety and supports teachers carrying guns at school. He also favors redirecting some police functions toward community-based responses, but not in a way that underfunds law enforcement.

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