Prediction Edge
Democrat
Michael Roth

Michael Roth

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New Jersey

Live Odds — NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$25.6KJUN 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleEconomic development leader

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationNew Jersey

BackgroundEconomic development leader

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EducationMBA, Wharton School (University of Pennsylvania)

Notable personal detailsMichael Roth is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District. He has worked in economic development and has served in leadership roles connected to the U.S. Small Business Administration during the COVID-19 pandemic. His career has included roles at IBM, JPMorgan, and Johnson & Johnson, as well as running his own business, and he earned an MBA from the Wharton School. He lives in Westfield, New Jersey.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief targeted to middle-class families, working parents, small businesses, and seniors while calling for billionaires and multinational corporations to pay higher taxes; seeks to restore the SALT deduction and expand targeted tax credits (e.g., first-time homebuyer credits and property tax relief for seniors).

Healthcare

Supports treating healthcare as a human right and expanding access and affordability through measures such as allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices, expanding Affordable Care Act subsidies, capping out-of-pocket costs, expanding primary care, mental health and addiction services, and cracking down on pharmacy benefit managers.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports codifying Roe v. Wade into federal law, protecting and expanding reproductive freedom, and preserving access to contraception and IVF. The campaign platform opposes attempts to restrict reproductive care and calls for privacy protections so people are not prosecuted for seeking healthcare.

Climate & Energy

Supports investing in and expanding clean energy and modern energy infrastructure, using federal funding and tax credits to lower energy costs and create clean-energy jobs in New Jersey; prioritizes remediation of water contamination (PFAS) and holding polluters accountable. Emphasizes building a clean-energy economy and bringing federal investment to the district rather than advocating for rapid phase-out of fossil fuels or Green New Deal–style language.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Michael Roth is running in the Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 7th Congressional District, where he is one of several candidates competing to challenge Rep. Tom Kean Jr. The race is drawing attention because the district is considered a toss-up and could help decide control of the House. Recent coverage has focused on the primary contest, with Rebecca Bennett described as the frontrunner and Roth still in the mix.

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Latest Polls

NJ-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Michael Roth currently averages 10.6%, ranking 4th in this race, 1.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 10.6%Position: 4thMargin: -1.8 ptsLatest poll: 12.0% (May 31 - Jun 1)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through May 31 - Jun 1.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
10.6%
28%
16.2%
12.4%
5%
Michael Roth
M. Roth
Rebecca Bennett
R. Bennett
Tina Shah
T. Shah
Brian Varela
B. Varela
Megan O'Rourke
M. O'Rourke
Date (Start - End)SpreadRothBennettShahVarelaO'Rourke
Polling Average
Bennett+17.4
10.6%28.0%16.2%12.4%5.0%
Tavern ResearchMay 31 - Jun 1
Bennett+20.0
12.0%32.0%16.0%15.0%
StimSight ResearchMay 17 - 20
Bennett+17.0
19.0%36.0%19.0%20.0%
Impact ResearchMay 11 - 13
Bennett+24.0
12.0%36.0%15.0%13.0%
GQRMay 3 - 6
Bennett+19.0
7.0%26.0%23.0%10.0%
GQRFeb 22 - 25
Bennett+7.0
3.0%10.0%8.0%4.0%5.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.3M
$960.8K
$640.5K
$320.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.3M
$40.1K
$1.2M
$68.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements