Prediction Edge
Republican
Michael Thompson

Michael Thompson

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-22 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$353.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationFlorida

Show more

Notable personal detailsMichael Thompson is a Republican candidate who qualified to run for U.S. House in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District in 2026. He has filed with the Florida Division of Elections as a qualified candidate and has an associated federal campaign committee registered with the FEC under the name “MICHAEL DYLAN THOMPSON FOR CONGRESS.”

SourcesShow

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 18, 2026

Michael Thompson is in the news as a candidate in a competitive 2026 House race. A recent report says Democrats have outraised Republican incumbents in many battleground districts, including in Florida, which could make the race more difficult for him. The broader picture is that fundraising and redistricting are shaping expectations for the election.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+42

Latest Polls

FL-22 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Victory Insights
20%15%10%5%0%
13.1%
11.4%
8.7%
5.6%
Michael Thompson
M. Thompson
Casey Askar
C. Askar
Michael Carbonara
M. Carbonara
David Burck
D. Burck
Terri Hasdorff
T. Hasdorff
Richard Evans
R. Evans
Date (Start - End)SpreadThompsonAskarCarbonaraBurckHasdorffEvans
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Askar+10.0
3.1%13.1%11.4%8.7%5.6%2.9%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$23.6K
$17.7K
$11.8K
$5.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$23.6K
$3.0K
$20.6K
$1.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Positions
  • Endorsements