Prediction Edge
Republican
Mike Cargile

Mike Cargile

Republican candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Mike Cargile is trading at 3% to win the CA-35 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSmall businessman

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age62 years old (Jun 15, 1964)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundSmall businessman

Notable personal detailsMichael K. Cargile is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 35th Congressional District. He has described himself as a small businessman and independent filmmaker, and has stated he previously served in the U.S. Army, including during the Gulf War/Desert Storm era. He has also said he is married and has two children.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Advocates lowering the tax burden, eliminating taxes on tips and Social Security, and halving property taxes for people over 65; favors reducing government regulation and downsizing the federal government to promote free enterprise.

Healthcare

Opposes government responsibility to provide universal health insurance and strongly opposes eliminating private health insurance; supports promoting affordable, accessible coverage through robust marketplace competition and removing government restraints.

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Immigration & Border

Supports closing and securing the southern border including construction of a border wall, opposes "open borders," supports denying funds to jurisdictions that do not comply with immigration laws, and favors employer E-Verify. Positions emphasize stronger enforcement and border controls rather than expanded legal pathways or protections for asylum seekers.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Mike Cargile identifies as pro-life and supports pro-life policies including protections for infants who survive attempted abortions. His campaign materials and multiple voter guides list him as opposing abortion and endorsing pro-life positions.

Climate & Energy

Supports nuclear power as the "greatest, cleanest, most reliable" electricity source, is critical of current electric-vehicle and some renewable policies, and emphasizes R&D into alternatives such as hydrogen fuel cells while defending conventional fuel use and consumer access to gas. Positions focus on skepticism of some green-energy claims and favoring market/technology-focused solutions rather than rapid mandates to phase out fossil fuels.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad Second Amendment protections and opposes restrictions, registration, or regulation of firearms as unconstitutional infringements. Emphasizes supporting law enforcement and the right of people to defend themselves and their families. Holds endorsements and high ratings from pro-gun organizations.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Mike Cargile is in the news because California’s 40th Congressional District race is moving toward the November general election after the June primary. Reports say Republicans are leading in the district, and the contest is part of a broader redistricting-driven fight in Southern California. Recent coverage also focuses on outside spending and primary interference efforts in several House races, including California, though the summaries do not give a specific new development for Cargile himself.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$141.2K
$105.9K
$70.6K
$35.3K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$67.1K
$1.4K
$65.8K
$2.7K

Cycle 2024

$141.2K
$470.77
$142.1K
$5.9K

Cycle 2026

$4.8K
$2.9K
$2.4K
$130.93

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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