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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
PA-16 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC
Incumbent
Mike Kelly
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania
IncumbentMike Kelly
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Pennsylvania
$21.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — PA-16 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
96.6%chance to win
$21.4KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age78 years old (May 10, 1948)
GenderMale
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LocationPennsylvania
BackgroundU.S. Representative
EducationUniversity of Notre Dame (B.A., 1970)
Notable personal detailsGeorge Joseph “Mike” Kelly Jr. is an American politician and businessman who has served as the U.S. representative for Pennsylvania since 2011 and currently represents Pennsylvania’s 16th congressional district. Before Congress, he served on the Butler Area School Board and on the Butler County Council. He earned a B.A. from the University of Notre Dame and is associated with auto dealership business ownership.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Mike Kelly supports fiscal responsibility, smaller government, and pro-growth tax reform. His campaign materials say Congress should reduce taxes for individuals while keeping government fiscally accountable, and his congressional activity includes backing tax-cut and tax-code-related legislation.
Healthcare
Mike Kelly’s healthcare positions emphasize lowering costs through market-based reforms, reducing bureaucratic interference, and expanding consumer choice. He has backed legislation tied to private coverage options, Medicare Advantage prior-authorization reform, and other efforts framed as increasing access without expanding the government’s role.
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Immigration & Border
Mike Kelly has repeatedly framed the border as a security crisis and called for stronger enforcement at the northern and southern borders. His public statements support funding ICE and CBP, closing asylum loopholes, ending catch-and-release, and reinstating Remain in Mexico-style policies.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Mike Kelly supports abortion restrictions and frames the issue as protecting unborn life. He backed a federal heartbeat-based abortion ban and has said he will consider legislation that protects the unborn and defends the right to life, including a proposal with no rape or incest exceptions.
Climate & Energy
Mike Kelly has publicly emphasized expanding American energy production and has promoted clean coal as part of a common-sense energy policy. His congressional record includes votes against climate emissions reporting and against several clean-energy and climate funding measures.
Public Safety & Guns
Mike Kelly has publicly opposed Democrat gun control proposals including H.R. 8 and H.R. 1112, saying they place an undue burden on law-abiding citizens trying to purchase firearms. He has also backed legislation framed as supporting law enforcement and protecting Second Amendment rights.
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