Prediction Edge
Republican
Mike Kennealy

Mike Kennealy

Republican candidate for Governor in Massachusetts

Live Odds — Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.9%chance to win

$46.6KSEP 16, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleMassachusetts Secretary of Housing and Economic Development

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyModerate Republican

GenderMale

LocationMassachusetts

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BackgroundMassachusetts Secretary of Housing and Economic Development

EducationDartmouth College

Notable personal detailsMike Kennealy is a Massachusetts Republican politician and former state cabinet official who served as Massachusetts Secretary of Housing and Economic Development in the Baker administration. He has a private-sector background in growth equity/private equity, including roles at TA Associates and Spectrum Equity. He is a Dartmouth College graduate and earned an MBA from Harvard Business School. He lives in Lexington, Massachusetts with his wife Trisha and has three adult children.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate pledges to oppose any new tax increases and says he will never sign a tax increase into law; he also frames his economic agenda around making Massachusetts more affordable by cutting taxes and reducing regulation. His campaign materials criticize proposed tax measures from the incumbent and call for lower taxes and fewer regulatory burdens to spur growth.

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger immigration enforcement and cooperation with federal authorities, including ending Massachusetts’ sanctuary policies, working with ICE to remove people in the country illegally (especially those accused of violent crimes), and imposing residency requirements for access to state shelter programs. Emphasizes public-safety framing and legislative changes to allow detention in line with ICE detainers and to prevent housing of unauthorized immigrants in shelters near vulnerable populations.

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Climate & Energy

Prioritizes lowering energy costs by expanding natural gas infrastructure, supporting next-generation nuclear, and opposing what he describes as costly climate mandates; calls for audits of state green programs and opposes certain offshore wind and clean-heat mandates that he says raise bills. Favors a diversified energy portfolio that includes fossil fuels alongside renewables and emphasizes affordability and market-driven solutions over regulatory mandates.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mike Kennealy has suspended his Massachusetts gubernatorial campaign and endorsed former rival Mike Minogue after failing to reach the delegate threshold at the state GOP convention. He had previously picked Anne Manning Martin as his running mate before exiting the race. Kennealy says he will keep working for a Republican win in November.

mikekennealy.com+48

Latest Polls

Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Mike Kennealy currently averages 21.5%, ranking first in this race, 1.1 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 21.5%Position: firstMargin: +1.1 ptsLatest poll: 7.0% (Feb 23 - 24)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Feb 23 - 24.

Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
21.5%
20.4%
16.2%
Mike Kennealy
M. Kennealy
Brian Shortsleeve
B. Shortsleeve
Michael Minogue
M. Minogue
Date (Start - End)SpreadKennealyShortsleeveMinogue
Polling Average
Kennealy+1.1
21.5%20.4%16.2%
Pulse Decision ScienceFeb 23 - 24
Minogue+22.0
7.0%16.0%29.0%
Suffolk UniversityNov 19 - 23
Shortsleeve+8.6
12.9%21.5%6.5%
University of Massachusetts Department of Political Science/YouGovOct 21 - 29
Kennealy+31.0
44.0%13.0%13.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Shortsleeve+9.0
22.0%31.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

4
Massachusetts Republican Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising