Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mike McGuire

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyLiberal Democrat

Age46 years old (Jul 21, 1979)

GenderMale

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LocationCalifornia

BackgroundPolitician

Notable personal detailsMike McGuire is an American politician from Northern California who has served in the California State Senate (District 2) since 2014. He was California Senate Majority Leader beginning in 2022 and served as President pro Tempore of the California State Senate from 2024 to 2025. He previously served in local government in Sonoma County, including on the Sonoma County Board of Supervisors and in the City of Healdsburg. He is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House California District 1 in 2026.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports public investments in education, small-business recovery, rural county payments, housing, homelessness, and wildfire safety while emphasizing balanced budgets and strengthening the rainy day fund; backing economic stimulus and targeted spending rather than advocating across-the-board tax cuts.

Healthcare

Supports expanding government-led healthcare: has co-authored California single-payer legislation, defended the Affordable Care Act, and campaigned on protecting and expanding access to care including rural hospitals and reproductive health. Advocates for guaranteed health care and investments to preserve and expand public health services in California.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protecting immigrants and asylum access, opposes family separations and deportation-focused federal actions, and backed state measures to limit local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement while calling for accountability for federal agents.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports broad access to abortion and actions to protect and expand reproductive healthcare access, including measures to allow out-of-state providers to deliver abortion care in California. Has publicly framed California as a sanctuary for reproductive freedom and opposed restrictive laws in other states.

Climate & Energy

Supports accelerating deployment of renewable energy (including offshore wind), strengthening California’s climate programs and investments in clean energy and energy affordability, and advancing wildfire resilience and environmental protections tied to the state’s climate goals.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded firearm regulations including measures to restrict ghost guns, require dealer surveillance and other state gun-control measures while also working with local law enforcement and first responders on public safety. Voting record and campaign materials show consistent votes for state gun-safety legislation.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 5, 2026

Mike McGuire is in the news because he ran in California’s 1st Congressional District race and was defeated by James Gallagher in the June 6 special election. Earlier reports said McGuire led the Democrats in the primary for the newly drawn district and advanced to the general election, where he was expected to face Gallagher again under the redrawn boundaries. McGuire also used a recent letter to outline his campaign priorities, including healthcare, wildfire safety, and opposition to Trump administration policies.

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Polls

David Binder Research
40%30%20%10%0%
33%
Mike McGuire
M. McGuire
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Binder ResearchFeb 28, 2026
33.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.8M
$1.3M
$884.4K
$442.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.8M
$140.7K
$1.6M
$90.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements