Prediction Edge
Democrat
Mike Simmons

Mike Simmons

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$1.1MMAR 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationIllinois

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BackgroundIllinois state senator

EducationSt. Ignatius College Prep

Notable personal detailsMike Simmons is a Democratic member of the Illinois Senate representing the 7th District on Chicago’s North Side, first appointed in February 2021 and subsequently elected. He has worked in public policy and previously served as a policy director for Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel and as a staffer for U.S. Senator Dick Durbin. In 2026 he ran as a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois’ 9th Congressional District.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports refundable child tax credits and tax relief for working families, has advocated closing corporate tax loopholes, and has sponsored legislation to tax extremely high wealth to finance public programs such as free community college. Prioritizes policies aimed at reducing income inequality and expanding government investments in social programs and education.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through Medicaid expansion and other state-level reforms; champions universal health care principles and has sponsored legislation to remove cost barriers (e.g., eliminating copays for targeted screenings) and strengthen patient protections. Prioritizes investments in safety-net hospitals, community clinics, behavioral and mental health access, and bills that limit prior authorization and predatory insurance practices.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for immigrant communities and measures that limit local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement while expanding inclusion and access to services for immigrants. Has sponsored and promoted state-level legislation to remove dehumanizing language from statutes and backed laws and policies that constrain ICE activity and safeguard residents’ access to public services and courts. Has held outreach (town halls) to inform constituents about immigration rights and resources.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying Roe v. Wade and expanding protections and capacity for abortion providers; backed repeal of parental notification requirements for minors and voted for Illinois laws shielding providers and patients seeking reproductive care (including abortion and IVF) from out-of-state legal actions.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive state-level clean-energy measures and transit electrification while advancing environmental health protections and climate resilience policies. Has sponsored and passed legislation to require zero-emission bus purchases by transit agencies, remove harmful chemicals from water, and improve protections related to lead service lines and severe-weather readiness.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun-safety measures including an assault-weapons ban, restrictions on high-capacity magazines, expanded firearm serialization and safe-storage initiatives, and extensions to firearm restraining-order (red flag) protections. Has actively sponsored and advocated for state legislation implementing those policies and convened survivors to inform policy development.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Mike Simmons is in the news because he is one of the Democrats running in Illinois’s 9th District primary, a crowded race to replace retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky. The contest has drawn heavy spending and attention, with early voting running well ahead of previous primaries. Recent coverage also shows the broader Illinois primary producing some upsets for progressive candidates, adding to the uncertainty around the party’s direction.

ilga.gov+43

Latest Polls

IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Mike Simmons currently averages 7.1%, ranking 4th in this race, 6.6 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 7.1%Position: 4thMargin: -6.6 ptsLatest poll: 10.0% (Mar 9 - 10)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 9 - 10.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
7.1%
24.1%
15.7%
13.8%
Mike Simmons
M. Simmons
Daniel Biss
D. Biss
Kat Abughazaleh
K. Abughazaleh
Laura Fine
L. Fine
Bushra Amiwala
B. Amiwala
Phil Andrew
P. Andrew
Hoan Huynh
H. Huynh
Sam Polan
S. Polan
Nick Pyati
N. Pyati
Date (Start - End)SpreadSimmonsBissAbughazalehFineAmiwalaAndrewHuynhPolanPyati
Polling Average
Biss+17.0
7.1%24.1%15.7%13.8%4.5%3.5%2.8%0.4%0.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 9 - 10
Biss+14.0
10.0%24.0%20.0%14.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 20 - 21
Biss+18.0
6.0%24.0%17.0%16.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
MoliticoFeb 15 - 20
Biss+22.8
8.2%31.0%12.9%13.9%6.5%3.7%1.6%0.1%
Impact ResearchFeb 5 - 10
Biss+24.0
7.0%31.0%18.0%18.0%4.0%7.0%3.0%
GBAOJan 26 - 29
Biss+14.0
7.0%21.0%14.0%21.0%4.0%4.0%2.0%
GBAONov 9 - 15
Biss+10.0
10.0%20.0%14.0%13.0%5.0%1.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchNov 4 - 9
Biss+25.0
6.0%31.0%17.0%10.0%3.0%3.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressOct 29 - Nov 3
Abughazaleh+12.0
6.0%18.0%18.0%10.0%6.0%1.0%5.0%1.0%
MDW CommunicationsJun 12 - 15
Biss+13.0
4.0%17.0%10.0%8.0%2.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$466.3K
$349.7K
$233.1K
$116.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$466.3K
$7.2K
$459.1K
$25.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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