Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Mike Turner

Mike Turner

Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Ohio

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Mike Turner is trading at 87% to win the OH-10 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age66 years old (Jan 11, 1960)

GenderMale

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LocationOhio

BackgroundU.S. Representative

EducationOhio Northern University — B.A. (1982)

Notable personal detailsMichael R. Turner is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, serving Ohio’s 10th Congressional District since January 2003. Before Congress, he served as mayor of Dayton, Ohio (1994–2002). He is a lawyer by training and has earned degrees from Ohio Northern University (B.A.), Case Western Reserve University (J.D.), the University of Dayton (M.B.A.), and Georgetown University (Ph.D., 2022).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Mike Turner has consistently supported lower taxes, opposing tax hikes on families and businesses. He has also backed spending cuts, deficit reduction, and pro-growth policies aimed at job creation and economic development.

Healthcare

Mike Turner has opposed Obamacare and the American Health Care Act, arguing for bipartisan reform focused on access, pre-existing condition protections, small-business pooling, premium deductibility, and tort reform. He has also supported preserving Medicare and Medicaid access in targeted cases, including legislation to maintain Medicaid coverage for pretrial detainees.

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Immigration & Border

Mike Turner supports strict border security and enforcement-first immigration policy. He has opposed amnesty, backed physical barriers and additional Border Patrol resources, and described stopping illegal immigration as a national security matter.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports overturning Roe v. Wade and has opposed major federal abortion-access bills. Publicly stated a commitment to protect the rights of the unborn, and his voting record includes opposition to the Women's Health Protection Act and the Ensuring Access to Abortion Act, along with support for the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Act.

Climate & Energy

Mike Turner has publicly advocated for domestic drilling and framed it as part of a common-sense energy policy. He has also supported increasing U.S. energy production and LNG exports, while saying renewable energy should continue to be invested in.

Public Safety & Guns

Turner’s public record includes support for the Second Amendment and a stated commitment to protect it. He has also backed restrictions on military-style weapon sales, magazine limits, red flag legislation, and a bipartisan bill to block firearm purchases by servicemembers with felony-level domestic violence convictions.

Latest Polls

OH-10 House winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Mike Turner currently averages 47.3%, ranking first in this race, 6.3 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 47.3%Position: firstMargin: +6.3 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Jul 20 - 23)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 20 - 23.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47.3%
41%
Mike Turner
M. Turner
Kristina Knickerbocker
K. Knickerbocker
Date (Start - End)SpreadTurnerKnickerbocker
Polling Average
Turner+6.3
47.3%41.0%
Global Strategy GroupJul 20 - 23
Turner+5.0
45.0%40.0%
Global Strategy GroupJul 20 - 23
Turner+7.0
49.0%42.0%
FM3 ResearchJul 6 - 12
Turner+7.0
48.0%41.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

OH-10 House winner?

Endorsers of Mike Turner for OH-10 House winner?

Ohio Conference of Teamsters

Labor organization

Ohio Conference of Teamsters endorsed Mike Turner in Ohio's 2026 congressional races.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.1M
$761.4K
$380.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.5M
$570.9K
$1.0M
$42.9K

Cycle 2024

$1.3M
$430.4K
$1.4M
$58.1K

Cycle 2026

$894.6K
$556.3K
$768.7K
$42.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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