Prediction Edge
DemocratIncumbent
Morgan McGarvey

Morgan McGarvey

Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Kentucky

Live Odds — KY-03 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

98%chance to win

$2.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age46 years old (Dec 23, 1979)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of Missouri (2002)

Notable personal detailsJohn Morgan McGarvey is an American attorney and Democratic politician representing Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives (first elected in 2022; in office since January 3, 2023). He previously served in the Kentucky State Senate (2013–2023), including as Minority Leader of the Kentucky Senate Democratic Caucus (2019–2023). He earned a B.A. from the University of Missouri and a J.D. from the University of Kentucky.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports targeted tax credits and expansions of social supports (permanent Child Tax Credit, Young Adult Tax Credit) and opposes large tax cuts for the wealthy while defending funding for Medicaid, SNAP, and other programs.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and calls health care a basic human right; advocates expanding coverage (including vision, dental, hearing), allowing Medicare to negotiate drug prices, and protecting/expanding Medicaid. Opposes cuts to Medicaid and has defended Medicaid funding in public statements and congressional hearings.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal pathways and protections for migrants, including pathways to residency/citizenship and protections for asylum-seekers; has urged DHS to grant parole or status adjustments for vulnerable national groups (e.g., Cuban arrivals) to allow them to remain and apply for residency. Opposes policies that would shift immigration enforcement to local law enforcement or create barriers to reporting crimes by undocumented survivors.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports a woman’s right to abortion, opposes Kentucky’s near-total abortion ban, and says Congress should codify Roe v. Wade into federal law to restore and protect abortion access. Advocates protecting reproductive health care, insurance coverage for birth control, and opposing laws that restrict abortion access including limits that lack rape and incest exceptions.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal spending and tax incentives to expand renewable energy and electric vehicle infrastructure, backs a federal clean energy standard and investments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions while supporting programs to help coal and mining communities transition. Has sponsored and announced legislation and funding to deploy clean energy projects and carbon capture initiatives in Kentucky and sought federal studies and oversight related to mining and public health impacts.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports strong gun safety measures including banning assault weapons, universal/expanded background checks, red flag laws, waiting periods, storage requirements, magazine limits, and other “common-sense” gun violence prevention policies. Has introduced/led resolutions and joined Democratic gun violence prevention efforts calling for federal action to reduce mass shootings and treat firearm violence as a public health crisis.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Morgan McGarvey is not directly mentioned in the provided news summaries, so there is no clear recent development about him here. The items mostly cover other races and candidates, including Republican primary results and campaign controversies in several states. Based on this set, there is not enough information to summarize McGarvey’s current news.

history.house.gov+36

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$3.1M
$2.3M
$1.5M
$772.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$3.1M
$221.1K
$2.9M
$119.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$1.3M
$1.1M
$47.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.6M
$1.8M
$1.1M
$60.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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