Prediction Edge
Nirav Dinesh Shah

Nirav Dinesh Shah

Live Odds — Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$912.1KJUN 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePhysician

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderMale

BackgroundPhysician

EducationB.S., University of Louisville

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Notable personal detailsNirav Dinesh Shah is an American physician and public health official who has served as director of the Illinois Department of Public Health (2015–2019) and director of the Maine Center for Disease Control and Prevention (beginning in 2019). He later served as principal deputy director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (beginning in March 2023) and has taught at Colby College. He has run for statewide office in Maine and launched a 2026 campaign for U.S. Senate.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports subsidizing low-income housing and expanding services like child care and health care; opposes offering tax breaks to attract companies to Maine. Emphasizes growing the economy by attracting purpose-driven employers while prioritizing funding for social programs rather than business tax incentives.

Healthcare

Nirav Dinesh Shah’s campaign emphasizes funding healthcare and improving access as one of its priorities, but the campaign materials and public coverage provide only high-level commitments rather than detailed policy proposals. Available sources describe his background as a public-health leader and list healthcare funding/access among campaign priorities without specifying support for particular reforms such as a public option, Medicaid expansion changes, or Medicare for All.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has criticized recent federal immigration enforcement actions in Maine as dehumanizing and urged community organizing and documenting interactions with ICE; he said the state should cooperate with the federal government while also standing up to it when necessary. These statements emphasize protecting communities from aggressive enforcement while not calling explicitly for large-scale regularization or broad deportation policies.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting access to reproductive health care and says he is proud of Maine’s liberal abortion laws; frames reproductive health care as a right that states must defend.

Climate & Energy

Supports sustainable policies to reduce environmental risks and expand clean-energy opportunities; commits to bold climate action and protecting clean air, water, and resilience to climate impacts while promoting economic growth tied to clean energy. Emphasizes evidence-driven solutions linking a healthy environment to public health and the economy.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 10, 2026

Nirav Shah is being discussed as a possible replacement nominee for Maine Democrats in the 2026 U.S. Senate race after Graham Platner said he will withdraw. The party is moving quickly to pick a new candidate by convention before the July 27 ballot deadline. Shah is one of several names under consideration, alongside Troy Jackson, Shenna Bellows, Dan Kleban, Jordan Wood, and Paige Loud.

shahformaine.com+50

Latest Polls

Maine Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Nirav Dinesh Shah currently averages 33.6%, ranking first in this race, 14.1 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 33.6%Position: firstMargin: +14.1 ptsLatest poll: 25.0% (May 28 - Jun 3)Polls included: 16

Average recalculated from polls through May 28 - Jun 3.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
33.6%
19.5%
18.7%
18.5%
15.3%
Nirav Dinesh Shah
N. Shah
Hannah Pingree
H. Pingree
Shenna Bellows
S. Bellows
Troy Jackson
T. Jackson
Angus King III
A. King
Kenneth Forrest Pinet
K. Pinet
Date (Start - End)SpreadShahPingreeBellowsJacksonKingPinet
Polling Average
Shah+14.1
33.6%19.5%18.7%18.5%15.3%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Shah+5.0
25.0%19.0%11.0%20.0%14.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Shah+6.0
28.0%21.0%22.0%16.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Shah+5.0
31.0%26.0%26.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Pingree+4.0
48.0%52.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Jackson+0.0
28.0%12.0%13.0%28.0%7.0%
Impact ResearchMay 19 - 21
Shah+8.0
32.0%16.0%15.0%24.0%9.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Shah+5.0
29.0%9.0%10.0%12.0%24.0%
GQRMay 6 - 9
Shah+12.0
32.0%20.0%18.0%15.0%12.0%
GQRMay 6 - 9
Shah+5.0
30.0%25.0%21.0%19.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchApr 30 - May 4
Shah+7.0
28.0%15.0%16.0%13.0%21.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchApr 30 - May 4
Shah+10.0
35.0%19.0%21.0%25.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchApr 30 - May 4
Shah+14.0
43.0%29.0%28.0%
Schoen Cooperman ResearchApr 30 - May 4
Shah+16.0
58.0%42.0%
Impact ResearchMar 19 - 23
Shah+13.0
31.0%16.0%17.0%18.0%9.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Shah+6.0
25.0%10.0%19.0%16.0%5.0%0.0%
Hart Research AssociatesJan 15 - 19
Shah+22.0
35.0%13.0%11.0%9.0%13.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising