Prediction Edge
Democrat
Noah Taylor

Noah Taylor

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Kansas

Live Odds — Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$80.8KAUG 5, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Noah Taylor’s campaign emphasizes making life more affordable for Kansans, criticizes powerful corporations and career politicians for rigging the system, and calls out rising grocery bills, tariffs, and property taxes as pressures on families. His campaign site frames these as priorities (affordability, fighting corruption, and economic relief) but does not set out detailed tax-policy proposals or explicit positions on raising or cutting taxes.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Noah Taylor is drawing new attention in the Kansas Senate race after a super PAC said it is shifting its focus to him. That same reporting says he was polling at 3% in a Kansas survey. More broadly, Kansas is being watched as Democrats look for opportunities in the 2026 midterms, but the summaries do not show any major new campaign breakthrough for Taylor yet.

fec.gov+54

Latest Polls

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Noah Taylor currently averages 7.0%, ranking second in this race, 4.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 7.0%Position: secondMargin: -4.5 ptsLatest poll: 10.0% (Jul 13 - 16)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 13 - 16.

Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
7%
11.5%
5.5%
Noah Taylor
N. Taylor
Christy Davis
C. Davis
Patrick Schmidt
P. Schmidt
Anne Parelkar
A. Parelkar
Erik Murray
E. Murray
Sandy Spidel Neumann
S. Neumann
Date (Start - End)SpreadTaylorDavisSchmidtParelkarMurrayNeumann
Polling Average
Davis+4.5
7.0%11.5%5.5%2.0%2.0%1.0%
GBAOJul 13 - 16
Davis+3.0
10.0%13.0%4.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%
Change ResearchJun 11 - 15
Davis+6.0
4.0%10.0%7.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$161.7K
$121.3K
$80.9K
$40.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$161.7K
$13.3K
$148.4K
$7.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements