Prediction Edge
Democrat
Oliver Gilbert

Oliver Gilbert

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

22%chance to win

$86.0KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer Mayor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age53 years old (Aug 15, 1972)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationFlorida A&M University — B.A. (Criminal Justice)

Notable personal detailsOliver G. Gilbert III is an American politician and attorney who served as Mayor of Miami Gardens (2012–2020) and has served as a Miami-Dade County Commissioner for District 1 since 2020, including a term as chair of the county commission. He has worked as a prosecutor as an Assistant State Attorney in Broward County and later in private legal practice. He earned a B.A. in criminal justice from Florida A&M University and a J.D. from the University of Miami School of Law.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports using county revenue and targeted fees to fund public services, infrastructure, affordable housing, and transit expansion and has backed budget measures that increase or preserve local revenue to avoid cuts to public safety and services. Emphasizes investments in economic development and small-business support alongside maintaining or modestly increasing fees/taxes when needed to cover shortfalls.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to care through Medicaid expansion and strengthening Affordable Care Act subsidies, and has advocated investing in local healthcare services and preventive care.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate expresses support for reproductive rights and the idea that women should have control over their bodies; he has spoken positively about expanding abortion access (e.g., ballot measures) while focusing on communicating and organizing to win voter support.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks on all gun sales and community-based violence prevention programs while opposing defunding police and advocating that law enforcement have necessary resources. Emphasizes police-community engagement, implicit-bias training, and investments in youth programs to address gun violence.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

2d

That’s below the previous low of 33%, setting a fresh floor for Oliver Gilbert in the FL-24 Democratic nominee race.

22%11%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Oliver Gilbert is being discussed as a possible successor in Florida’s 24th Congressional District after Rep. Frederica Wilson announced she will retire from Congress. The seat is still expected to stay Democratic-leaning, and the Democratic primary is set for August 18. The retirement has put the district’s race in focus, with potential candidates already being talked about.

en.wikipedia.org+45

Latest Polls

FL-24 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Oliver Gilbert currently averages 26.4%, ranking second in this race, 6.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 26.4%Position: secondMargin: -6.0 ptsLatest poll: 23.4% (Aug 5 - 6)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 5 - 6.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
26.4%
32.4%
Oliver Gilbert
O. Gilbert
Shevrin Jones
S. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadGilbertJones
Polling Average
Jones+6.0
26.4%32.4%
St. Pete PollsAug 5 - 6
Jones+9.7
23.4%33.1%
National Victory StrategiesJul 24 - 28
Jones+7.0
28.0%35.0%
National Victory StrategiesJul 24 - 28
Jones+11.0
27.0%38.0%
St. Pete PollsJul 16 - 17
Gilbert+3.7
27.2%23.5%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$812.1K
$609.1K
$406.1K
$203.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$812.1K
$229.1K
$583.0K
$30.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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