Prediction Edge
Democrat
Oliver Larkin

Oliver Larkin

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Oliver Larkin is trading at 1% to win the FL-23 Democratic nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleActivist

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist

LocationFlorida

BackgroundActivist

Show more

EducationPine Crest School

Notable personal detailsOliver Adams Larkin is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 25th Congressional District. He has worked as a political and digital strategist and describes himself as an activist and union organizer. Larkin attended Pine Crest School, graduated from Phillips Exeter Academy, and studied English and History at Sewanee: The University of the South. He has lived in South Florida and has been based in Deerfield Beach, Florida.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports progressive economic policies including Medicare for All, a Green New Deal, a $25 living wage, and economic justice to close the wealth gap; favors expanded government programs and reducing corporate influence in politics. Positions emphasize increasing public investment in social programs and regulating corporate power.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and frames healthcare as a human right, making single‑payer universal coverage a campaign priority.

Show more

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports restricting immigration enforcement practices and opposes mass detention and deportation, calling for the abolition of Immigration and Customs Enforcement and defending immigrant communities. The campaign frames immigration policy in humanitarian terms and condemns actions that would denaturalize citizens or rollback protections such as TPS.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion as healthcare and a human right, endorses the Abortion Justice Act and EACH Act to protect and expand access, opposes all abortion bans, and pledges to restore nationwide abortion access and end medically unnecessary restrictions.

Climate & Energy

The candidate endorses a Green New Deal and supports federal public investment in sustainable energy and resilient infrastructure to protect South Florida, create jobs, and advance clean-energy innovation. Policy statements emphasize phasing toward sustainable energy and prioritizing climate resilience for the district.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports passage of universal background checks, an assault weapons ban, and stronger gun-safety laws to protect schools, college campuses, and houses of worship. Calls for taking on the gun lobby to reduce gun violence and increase public safety.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026

Oliver Larkin is in the news as the challenger in Florida’s 25th Congressional District Democratic primary against Rep. Jared Moskowitz. The race is drawing attention because Larkin is running to Moskowitz’s left on foreign and domestic policy, with the contest highlighting divisions over Israel, Cuba, and party ideology. He has also received a fundraising boost from creator Hasan Piker, who raised more than $56,000 for his campaign. The district is being watched as a key test of Florida Democratic voters ahead of the 2026 midterms.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Beacon Insights
25%20%15%10%5%0%
19.9%
Oliver Larkin
O. Larkin
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Beacon InsightsJul 22, 2026
19.9%
Beacon InsightsJun 26, 2026
32.8%
Middle SeatMay 6, 2026
45.0%
Middle SeatMay 6, 2026
7.0%
Middle SeatMay 6, 2026
43.0%
Center For Strategic PoliticsMar 5, 2026
11.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

22
FL-25 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$689.4K
$517.1K
$344.7K
$172.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$689.4K
$169.7K
$519.7K
$27.4K

Source: FEC