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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
TX-04 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 6:19 AM UTC
Incumbent
Pat Fallon
Incumbent Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas
$6.0K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — TX-04 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
97%chance to win
$6.0KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age58 years old (Dec 19, 1967)
GenderMale
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LocationTexas
BackgroundEntrepreneur
EducationB.A., Government and International Relations, University of Notre Dame (1990)
Notable personal detailsPatrick Edward "Pat" Fallon is a U.S. Representative from Texas, serving Texas’s 4th Congressional District since January 3, 2021. He previously served on the Frisco City Council, in the Texas House of Representatives (2013–2019), and in the Texas Senate (2019–2021). Fallon is a University of Notre Dame graduate and a U.S. Air Force veteran, and he has worked as an entrepreneur and business executive.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax cuts and pro-business tax policy, favors reducing tax burdens for workers and small businesses and has voted consistently with conservative fiscal positions. Opposes carbon taxes and has a legislative/voting record aligned with tax-cut priorities.
Healthcare
The candidate supports repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act and advances conservative, market-oriented approaches to health policy. He has backed legislation and statements consistent with reducing the federal role in healthcare and opposing Obamacare-era policies.
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Immigration & Border
Supports aggressive border enforcement and stricter immigration controls, including construction of a border wall, expanded enforcement measures, and actions to hold the Biden administration and Homeland Security leadership accountable for perceived failures at the southern border.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Pat Fallon opposes abortion access and has supported restrictive abortion measures and pro‑life legislation. His record includes votes for born‑alive protections and prior support for state-level limits such as a 20‑week ban and increased regulations on abortion providers, and he has been endorsed by pro‑life organizations.
Climate & Energy
Pat Fallon opposes aggressive federal climate regulations and criticizes the Biden administration’s climate policies while advocating for increased U.S. energy production and support for the domestic energy sector. He is a member of the House Conservative Climate Caucus and has voted against some clean-energy investment measures referenced by advocacy trackers.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong Second Amendment protections and opposes expanded federal regulation of lawful gun owners while supporting law enforcement authority. Has criticized ATF actions as overreach and argued against universal background checks as burdensome to law-abiding citizens. Receives endorsements from pro-gun organizations.
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2022
2024
2026
LatestCycle 2022
Cycle 2024
Cycle 2026
Source: FEC
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