Prediction Edge
Republican
Pat Grassley

Pat Grassley

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Iowa

Live Odds — Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.9%chance to win

$49.9KJUN 3, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age43 years old (May 26, 1983)

GenderMale

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LocationIowa

BackgroundFarmer

EducationHawkeye Community College — A.A., Agribusiness

Notable personal detailsPatrick Lynn Grassley is an American politician and farmer from New Hartford, Iowa. A Republican, he has served in the Iowa House of Representatives since 2007 and has been Speaker of the Iowa House since 2020. He earned an A.A. in agribusiness from Hawkeye Community College and attended the University of Northern Iowa. He is the grandson of U.S. Senator Chuck Grassley.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting personal income taxes and returning surplus funds to taxpayers, has led and defended multiple state income tax reductions and advocates property tax relief and lower rates for Iowans. Emphasizes tax relief as a priority while aiming to preserve ability to fund state priorities through responsible budgeting.

Healthcare

Pat Grassley supports targeted increases in Medicaid reimbursement for nursing homes and measures to address staffing and rural provider stability, while backing policies such as Medicaid work requirements. He has not advocated for Medicare for All or major public-option expansions in available public statements.

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Immigration & Border

Pat Grassley supports stronger enforcement and border security measures and says Iowa should partner with the federal government on immigration enforcement. He has backed state-level actions to address illegal immigration, supported funding for law enforcement to implement enforcement measures, and signaled confidence in a Republican federal administration to secure the border. His public remarks focus on addressing illegal immigration, trafficking, and support for partnering with federal authorities rather than advocating expanded legal pathways or broad regularization.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, backing Iowa’s six-week “heartbeat” law and saying Republicans are “unapologetically pro-life.” He has expressed support for the heartbeat bill with exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother.

Climate & Energy

Position emphasizes support for Iowa’s renewable fuels and wind/solar development alongside support for energy infrastructure such as carbon dioxide pipelines; policy actions focus on protecting and expanding biofuels and enabling energy projects while pursuing landowner protections and implementation details rather than aggressive emissions-target policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Pat Grassley emphasizes protecting Iowans' Second Amendment rights while focusing on school security and efforts to prevent violence; he and House Republicans have prioritized expanding gun rights and have not committed to major new gun-control measures such as bans.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Pat Grassley is being mentioned in coverage of Iowa’s increasingly competitive 2026 election landscape. Reports say health care, Medicaid cuts, and broader cost-of-living concerns are shaping the debate in Iowa House races, while Democrats are expanding their campaign operations across the state. The state is also drawing attention because of contested House races, a Senate race, and an open governor’s race that could affect the broader political balance in Iowa.

legis.iowa.gov+41

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$9.5M
$7.2M
$4.8M
$2.4M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$9.5M
$441.4K
$10.9M
$455.5K

Cycle 2024

$770.1K
$332.9K
$878.6K
$36.6K

Cycle 2026

$328.1K
$360.2K
$300.7K
$16.7K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements