Prediction Edge
Democrat
Patrick Keating

Patrick Keating

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-02 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$87.5KMAR 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney (trial and appellate; civil litigation)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

LocationIllinois

BackgroundAttorney (trial and appellate; civil litigation)

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EducationPrinceton University — B.A.

Notable personal detailsPatrick John Keating is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Illinois’s 2nd Congressional District. He is a trial and appellate attorney in private practice in Chicago and has taught law as an adjunct professor at the University of Illinois Chicago. He has described prior community involvement including serving as a school board president and as a member of a Catholic parish pastoral council. He attended Princeton University and earned a J.D. from Notre Dame Law School.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports making health care more affordable for families but provides only general, non-specific language about healthcare on campaign materials and local coverage, without clear policy proposals or stance on specific reforms (e.g., Medicare expansion, public option, or ACA changes).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Patrick Keating is part of the crowded Chicago Democratic congressional primary, which has drawn unusually heavy spending. The race has seen nearly $62 million in direct contributions and outside money, including support from groups tied to AIPAC and to AI and cryptocurrency interests. The surge in spending has raised concerns about wealthy donors shaping the outcome.

fec.gov+45

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Global Strategy Group
5%4%3%2%1%0%
Patrick Keating
P. Keating
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Global Strategy GroupDec 3, 2025
2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.7K
$11.0K
$7.4K
$3.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$14.7K
$0.00
$14.7K
$866.52

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements