Prediction Edge
Democrat
Patrick Roath

Patrick Roath

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Massachusetts

Live Odds — MA-08 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

56%chance to win

$23.9KSEP 16, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleAttorney

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationMassachusetts

BackgroundAttorney

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EducationTufts University (entered 2005)

Notable personal detailsPatrick Thomas Roath is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a lawyer and voting-rights/democracy advocate, and has served as an aide to Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick and interned in the Obama-Biden White House. He has been involved with Common Cause Massachusetts and has described work on expanding voting access in Massachusetts.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding refundable tax credits for working- and middle-class families (Child Tax Credit and Earned Income Tax Credit) while increasing tax obligations for the wealthiest individuals and large corporations to ensure they "pay their fair share."

Healthcare

The candidate supports access to quality, affordable healthcare and seeks to strengthen protections for reproductive and transgender-related health services. The campaign emphasizes fixing healthcare costs and expanding access rather than advocating for single‑payer or full privatization.

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Immigration & Border

Supports comprehensive, bipartisan, and humane immigration reform that includes an orderly pathway to citizenship, protections for asylum seekers, increased support for immigration judges, and smarter border enforcement. Calls for dismantling ICE and reassigning domestic immigration enforcement to a new or different agency. Rejects efforts to strip due-process rights from non-citizens and opposes dehumanizing rhetoric toward immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports pro-choice policies and federal protections for reproductive freedom. He says family planning decisions should be between individuals and healthcare providers, would vote to codify Roe v. Wade (via the Women’s Health Protection Act), and seeks access to the full spectrum of reproductive health care for all.

Climate & Energy

Supports bold action on climate with federal investments in a broad set of clean energy technologies and resilience, while emphasizing energy affordability for households. Endorses offshore and onshore wind, solar, advanced nuclear, fusion, geothermal, and small-scale hydro as part of a clean-energy strategy.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports serious, comprehensive gun-control measures including a federal licensing system for firearm possession and tighter regulation to keep guns out of the wrong hands. The campaign frames firearms regulation as comparable to motor-vehicle licensing and emphasizes immediate action to reduce gun violence.

Latest Candidate Updates

Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.

MA-08 Democratic nominee?

1d

Patrick Roath's odds in "MA-08 Democratic nominee?" are above the previous high of 50%.

72%22%

MA-08 Democratic nominee?

2d

Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race.

52%

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 13, 2026

Patrick Roath is in the news because he is challenging longtime Democratic Rep. Stephen Lynch in the Massachusetts 8th District primary. Roath is pitching himself as a candidate for generational change and a more progressive approach. The race is drawing attention because of Lynch’s long tenure, union support, and endorsements on both sides.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Workbench Strategy
40%30%20%10%0%
36%
Patrick Roath
P. Roath
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Workbench StrategyFeb 19, 2026
36.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.1M
$834.0K
$556.0K
$278.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.1M
$458.8K
$653.2K
$36.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements