MA-08 Democratic nominee?
1dPatrick Roath's odds in "MA-08 Democratic nominee?" are above the previous high of 50%.

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Massachusetts
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
56%chance to win
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleAttorney
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
LocationMassachusetts
BackgroundAttorney
EducationTufts University (entered 2005)
Notable personal detailsPatrick Thomas Roath is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Massachusetts' 8th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a lawyer and voting-rights/democracy advocate, and has served as an aide to Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick and interned in the Obama-Biden White House. He has been involved with Common Cause Massachusetts and has described work on expanding voting access in Massachusetts.
Supports expanding refundable tax credits for working- and middle-class families (Child Tax Credit and Earned Income Tax Credit) while increasing tax obligations for the wealthiest individuals and large corporations to ensure they "pay their fair share."
The candidate supports access to quality, affordable healthcare and seeks to strengthen protections for reproductive and transgender-related health services. The campaign emphasizes fixing healthcare costs and expanding access rather than advocating for single‑payer or full privatization.
Supports comprehensive, bipartisan, and humane immigration reform that includes an orderly pathway to citizenship, protections for asylum seekers, increased support for immigration judges, and smarter border enforcement. Calls for dismantling ICE and reassigning domestic immigration enforcement to a new or different agency. Rejects efforts to strip due-process rights from non-citizens and opposes dehumanizing rhetoric toward immigrants.
The candidate supports pro-choice policies and federal protections for reproductive freedom. He says family planning decisions should be between individuals and healthcare providers, would vote to codify Roe v. Wade (via the Women’s Health Protection Act), and seeks access to the full spectrum of reproductive health care for all.
Supports bold action on climate with federal investments in a broad set of clean energy technologies and resilience, while emphasizing energy affordability for households. Endorses offshore and onshore wind, solar, advanced nuclear, fusion, geothermal, and small-scale hydro as part of a clean-energy strategy.
The candidate supports serious, comprehensive gun-control measures including a federal licensing system for firearm possession and tighter regulation to keep guns out of the wrong hands. The campaign frames firearms regulation as comparable to motor-vehicle licensing and emphasizes immediate action to reduce gun violence.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Patrick Roath's odds in "MA-08 Democratic nominee?" are above the previous high of 50%.
Patrick Roath is now at 52%, with a 3.0-point lead in the MA-08 Democratic nominee race.
Patrick Roath is in the news because he is challenging longtime Democratic Rep. Stephen Lynch in the Massachusetts 8th District primary. Roath is pitching himself as a candidate for generational change and a more progressive approach. The race is drawing attention because of Lynch’s long tenure, union support, and endorsements on both sides.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.