Prediction Edge
Democrat
Patrick Schmidt

Patrick Schmidt

Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in Kansas

Live Odds — Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$80.8KAUG 5, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief and lower taxes (including property-tax relief) and has signed a taxpayer protection pledge committing against increases in income taxes; has proposed targeted tax credits for families. Positions emphasize reducing tax burden and promoting tax credits rather than advocating higher taxes or large-scale redistribution.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid in Kansas to increase coverage and lower costs; prioritizes affordable healthcare access and extending care to additional residents. Advocates state-level actions to expand coverage rather than proposing repeal or privatization.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate has supported tougher enforcement measures on immigration, including urging Congress to increase penalties for violations of federal immigration laws and encouraging prosecution of employers who hire undocumented immigrants. In past forums he emphasized that the border should be fixed first as part of bipartisan reform and described securing the border as a prerequisite to discussing pathways to legal immigration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate has publicly described support for abortion rights but also sponsored or amended legislation that adds fetal recognition provisions (including a proposal to extend child tax benefits or claims to fetuses), actions that have drawn criticism from abortion rights advocates. Public statements and legislative actions present a conflicted record that does not fit cleanly into a single pro‑choice or pro‑restriction category.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding renewable energy in Kansas—particularly wind—and encourages investment in wind energy education, technology, and production while acknowledging the need to invest in other energy supplies during the transition. Positions emphasize building Kansas’ role in clean energy development rather than opposing transitional fossil-fuel use outright.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports gun violence prevention and has been recognized as a ‘Gun Sense’ candidate by Moms Demand Action; expresses commitment to passing gun safety legislation to reduce deaths while governing with gun safety in mind.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Patrick Schmidt is in the news because he is one of the candidates in Kansas’s contested Democratic primary for governor. The race is part of a broader primary day that also includes a crowded Democratic U.S. Senate field and other statewide contests. The reports focus on the primary itself and the vote-counting process, but they do not provide a result for Schmidt.

fec.gov+54

Latest Polls

Kansas Democratic Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Patrick Schmidt currently averages 5.5%, ranking third in this race, 1.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 5.5%Position: thirdMargin: -1.5 ptsLatest poll: 4.0% (Jul 13 - 16)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Jul 13 - 16.

Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
5.5%
11.5%
7%
Patrick Schmidt
P. Schmidt
Christy Davis
C. Davis
Noah Taylor
N. Taylor
Anne Parelkar
A. Parelkar
Erik Murray
E. Murray
Sandy Spidel Neumann
S. Neumann
Date (Start - End)SpreadSchmidtDavisTaylorParelkarMurrayNeumann
Polling Average
Davis+6.0
5.5%11.5%7.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
GBAOJul 13 - 16
Davis+9.0
4.0%13.0%10.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%
Change ResearchJun 11 - 15
Davis+3.0
7.0%10.0%4.0%3.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$256.0K
$192.0K
$128.0K
$64.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$256.0K
$5.0K
$251.0K
$13.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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