Prediction Edge
Democrat
Patty Garcia

Patty Garcia

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-04 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

97.2%chance to win

$16.7KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePolitical staffer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationIllinois

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BackgroundPolitical staffer

Notable personal detailsPatty Garcia is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Illinois' 4th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She filed with the Federal Election Commission as a House candidate for IL-04 and has an authorized principal campaign committee, Patty Garcia for Congress. Public reporting has described her as the longtime chief of staff to Rep. Jesús “Chuy” García.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Patty Garcia’s platform emphasizes lowering costs for working families by raising wages, expanding the Child Tax Credit, and protecting Social Security and Medicare. She also calls for making the rich pay their fair share and supporting stronger labor protections and public investment.

Healthcare

Patty Garcia has been publicly linked to support for Medicare for All and health care justice. Her campaign profile and endorsements emphasize affordable health care and universal coverage as core priorities.

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Immigration & Border

Patty Garcia supports a pathway to citizenship, protections for Dreamers and mixed-status families, expanded legal services for immigrants, and stronger oversight of federal immigration agencies. She also supports restructuring immigration enforcement, including abolishing ICE, and has described protecting immigrant communities as a top priority.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Patty Garcia says she supports reproductive healthcare rights. Her campaign frames reproductive healthcare as part of its broader healthcare agenda and does not list support for abortion restrictions on its issues page.

Climate & Energy

Patty Garcia says climate change is a real and looming danger and supports a strong push toward sustainable energy and advanced infrastructure with good-paying union jobs. She backs expanding clean energy, improving public transportation, funding flood mitigation, addressing pollution, and moving toward a clean energy economy.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Patty Garcia is in the news because ballot rulings have strengthened her position in Illinois’s 4th Congressional District race. The Illinois State Board of Elections removed independent candidates Mayra Macías and Ald. Byron Sigcho-Lopez from the November ballot after finding they lacked enough valid signatures. That leaves Garcia with a clearer path in the general election, though the candidates may still pursue legal challenges.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

The Bullfinch Group
40%30%20%10%0%
34%
Patty Garcia
P. Garcia
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
The Bullfinch GroupAug 3, 2026
34.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$358.7K
$269.0K
$179.3K
$89.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$358.7K
$185.5K
$173.2K
$9.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements