Prediction Edge
Democrat
Paul Blackman

Paul Blackman

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Mississippi

Live Odds — MS-04 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

2%chance to win

$4.4KMAR 17, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCandidate

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

LocationMississippi

Notable personal detailsPaul James Blackman is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Mississippi’s 4th congressional district. He is a U.S. Navy veteran who immigrated to the United States from Australia and has described himself as a working student. He is married and has three children.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports public investment in infrastructure, workforce development, and strengthening Social Security while promoting mandatory retirement savings and policies to protect economic security for working families. He emphasizes government investment to drive long-term economic stability for Mississippi’s Gulf Coast. He does not provide clear, specific positions on tax increases or cuts in the available public statements.

Healthcare

Supports improving healthcare access and affordability with a focus on strengthening rural hospitals, expanding telehealth, and ensuring healthcare professionals have training pathways; states that no one should face financial ruin from illness. Emphasizes practical investments in healthcare access alongside infrastructure and education.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports lawful, orderly, and humane immigration enforcement while emphasizing clear legal pathways, proper documentation, and that the United States has benefited from immigration. Seeks to make the immigration process more consistent and transparent.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate says reproductive healthcare decisions should remain between a woman and her doctor and that government should ensure access to safe medical care, including contraception and fertility treatments such as IVF. He emphasizes protecting healthcare access while acknowledging differing moral views.

Climate & Energy

Supports government investment in resilient infrastructure, coastal protection, and cleaner technologies to protect Mississippi’s Gulf Coast and local communities while maintaining economic growth. Emphasizes environmental stewardship and the need for responsible energy infrastructure as technologies (like AI) expand. These positions indicate support for moderate climate investment and clean-energy measures rather than phasing out fossil fuels immediately.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Paul Blackman is being mentioned in coverage of Mississippi voting-rights activism, including a planned Jackson rally focused on voter protection, registration, and turnout after a Supreme Court ruling weakened parts of the Voting Rights Act. The reporting ties that effort to concerns about how the ruling could affect redistricting and Black-majority districts in Mississippi. There is little other recent reporting about Blackman specifically in the provided summaries.

fec.gov+41

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising