Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
40.5%
22.0%
9.0%
Republican
Paul Renner
Republican candidate for Governor in Florida
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
$31.2M
AUG 19, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Paul Renner is trading at 0% to win the Florida Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer State Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age59 years old (Mar 21, 1967)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationFlorida
BackgroundAttorney
EducationDavidson College (B.A., History, 1989)
Notable personal detailsPaul Marvin Renner is an American attorney and Republican politician who served as Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives from 2022 to 2024 and represented the Florida House from 2015 to 2024. He is a former assistant state attorney and a U.S. Navy veteran, including service in Operation Desert Storm and later service connected to Afghanistan. He is a candidate for Governor of Florida in 2026.
SourcesShowHide
en.wikipedia.orgvoterenner.comwusf.orgdos.elections.myflorida.comapnews.comalec.orgwuwf.orgfloridabar.orgcbsnews.comnews.wjct.orgmiamiherald.comanalysis.limitedgov.orgmynews13.comfloridaphoenix.commyfloridahouse.govcdn.ymaws.comflsenate.govmartincountydemocrats.orgflvoicenews.comyahoo.comfloridadaily.comfloridianpress.comnews.yahoo.comwiod.iheart.comthecapitolist.comorlandoweekly.compolitifact.comfloridajolt.comflaglerlive.comaxios.comfacebook.comfloridapolitics.comfox13news.compolitico.comnbcnews.comclickorlando.comtampabay.comgulfcoastnewsnow.comsubscriber.politicopro.comwtsp.comfox49.tvyoutube.comdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgclerk.house.govcongress.govjustfacts.votesmart.orgncsl.orgradiotv.house.govwikidata.orghistory.house.govgovinfo.govballotready.orgfec.govde.wikipedia.orgfrankel.house.govfrost.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Paul Renner’s campaign emphasizes immediate property tax relief, proposing an immediate rollback of property taxes to 2024 levels, caps on future tax growth tied to incomes, and rules making new local taxes harder to enact. His record as Florida House Speaker is presented as supporting large tax cuts and spending reductions and continued reforms to lower insurance and litigation-driven costs.
Healthcare
Paul Renner’s health platform calls for repealing the Affordable Care Act and returning healthcare authority to states while prohibiting vaccine mandates and protecting parental consent for medical interventions on minors. His plan emphasizes medical freedom, reduced federal regulation, and market-based patient choice while also proposing preventive and ‘whole health’ initiatives and expanded access to integrative therapies through public programs.
Show moreShow less
Immigration & Border
Paul Renner advocates for stronger immigration enforcement and tougher border-related measures, including arresting and removing illegal immigrants involved in trafficking, supporting detention capacity for migrants, and calling for restrictions such as pausing certain work visas (H-1B). He frames immigration as needing to prioritize assimilation and American workers while emphasizing coordination with federal authorities on removals and enforcement.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Paul Renner has supported restrictive abortion policies in Florida, including backing the six-week abortion limit and opposing a constitutional amendment that would restore abortion access up to fetal viability. He has financially supported efforts to defeat ballot efforts to expand abortion rights and publicly criticized language in the amendment as too broad or ill-defined.
Climate & Energy
Supports conservation and funding for water quality, the Everglades, and the Florida Wildlife Corridor while opposing aggressive, politically driven timelines for rapid transitions away from fossil fuels; favors fuel flexibility (including natural gas and nuclear) and ensuring reliable, low-cost electricity. Criticizes ESG-driven pressures on energy companies and emphasizes market-driven or utility-centered approaches to energy policy rather than mandates.
Public Safety & Guns
Paul Renner supports expanding gun-carry rights (including permitless/"constitutional carry") while emphasizing backing law enforcement and public safety. His campaign and legislative record describe efforts to remove concealed-carry permitting requirements and uphold Second Amendment rights alongside support for police and crime reduction measures.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026
Paul Renner is in the news as one of the Republican candidates in Florida’s 2026 governor race, which is heading into the Aug. 18 primary. Recent reports show him trailing Byron Donalds by a wide margin in polling, with Renner at just a few percent support. He was also among the candidates left out of the Florida GOP’s debate qualification criteria, adding to the intraparty tension around the race.
en.wikipedia.org+55
Articles
BNBreitbart News Network2 months ago
Backed Byron Donalds Leads Florida Gov. Primary by 46 Points
Neutral
NDNaples Daily News2 months ago
Florida governor race field is finally set
Neutral
GSGainesville Sun1 day ago
Florida ballot for Republican governor may be confusing to some voters
Neutral
NNewsmax3 months ago
Rep. Donalds Surges Ahead in Fla. GOP Governor Race
Negative
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Paul Renner currently averages 4.4%, ranking 4th in this race, 4.6 points behind the next candidate.
Polling average: 4.4%Position: 4thMargin: -4.6 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (Aug 11 - 11)Polls included: 40
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 11 - 11.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
7Florida Republican Governor nominee?
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
- Fundraising