Prediction Edge
Democrat
Phil Andrew

Phil Andrew

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Illinois

Live Odds — IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$1.1MMAR 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFBI special agent

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

LocationIllinois

BackgroundFBI special agent

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Notable personal detailsPhilip Jerome Andrew is a Democratic candidate who ran for the U.S. House in Illinois’ 9th Congressional District. He is a former FBI special agent and hostage/crisis negotiator and has worked in gun-violence prevention advocacy. Andrew is also the principal of PAX Group, LLC, a crisis and conflict consultancy based in Illinois.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanded federal investment in affordability measures (housing, childcare, healthcare), stronger regulation of corporations and price-gouging, and reinvesting in agencies and programs to grow clean-energy jobs and resilience. Emphasizes strengthening supports for working families and small businesses rather than advocating tax cuts.

Healthcare

Supports the Affordable Care Act and expanding Medicaid and community health services, and describes healthcare as a human right. Advocates defending and improving the ACA to reduce cost barriers and expand access to care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a secure border while also creating a fair, achievable path to citizenship for Dreamers, long-term residents, TPS holders, and essential workers. Calls to end family separation, shut down for-profit detention centers, ensure humane treatment and due process for migrants, and hold ICE legally accountable. Also supports workforce development and labor protections for immigrant communities and immigrant-owned businesses.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting reproductive rights and calls for defending access to reproductive health; endorses codifying Roe v. Wade. Advocates for healthcare as a human right and expanding access to care including Medicaid and the ACA.

Climate & Energy

Supports federal investment in clean energy generation, grid modernization, workforce training for clean‑tech jobs, renewables investment, and aligning federal procurement with net‑zero goals; prioritizes Great Lakes preservation and climate resilience for frontline communities.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanded background checks, extreme risk protection orders (red flag laws), safe firearm storage, and other gun safety measures while emphasizing evidence-based public safety strategies and collaboration with law enforcement and communities. Endorsed by Brady PAC and frames gun-violence prevention as a central issue informed by his experience as a survivor and former FBI hostage negotiator.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Phil Andrew is in the news because he is running in the crowded Democratic primary for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District, where 15 Democrats are competing to replace retiring Rep. Jan Schakowsky. The race has been a major focus of the Illinois primaries and is still being tracked as votes are counted and the field narrows. Coverage around the contest has also highlighted broader debates in the district, including questions about representation and the changing makeup of the electorate.

docquery.fec.gov+37

Latest Polls

IL-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Phil Andrew currently averages 3.5%, ranking 6th in this race, 1.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 3.5%Position: 6thMargin: -1.0 ptsLatest poll: 7.0% (Mar 9 - 10)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through Mar 9 - 10.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
24.1%
15.7%
13.8%
7.1%
Phil Andrew
P. Andrew
Daniel Biss
D. Biss
Kat Abughazaleh
K. Abughazaleh
Laura Fine
L. Fine
Mike Simmons
M. Simmons
Bushra Amiwala
B. Amiwala
Hoan Huynh
H. Huynh
Sam Polan
S. Polan
Nick Pyati
N. Pyati
Date (Start - End)SpreadAndrewBissAbughazalehFineSimmonsAmiwalaHuynhPolanPyati
Polling Average
Biss+20.6
3.5%24.1%15.7%13.8%7.1%4.5%2.8%0.4%0.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 9 - 10
Biss+17.0
7.0%24.0%20.0%14.0%10.0%6.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 20 - 21
Biss+19.0
5.0%24.0%17.0%16.0%6.0%4.0%2.0%
MoliticoFeb 15 - 20
Biss+27.3
3.7%31.0%12.9%13.9%8.2%6.5%1.6%0.1%
Impact ResearchFeb 5 - 10
Biss+24.0
7.0%31.0%18.0%18.0%7.0%4.0%3.0%
GBAOJan 26 - 29
Biss+17.0
4.0%21.0%14.0%21.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%
GBAONov 9 - 15
Biss+19.0
1.0%20.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%5.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchNov 4 - 9
Biss+28.0
3.0%31.0%17.0%10.0%6.0%3.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressOct 29 - Nov 3
Abughazaleh+17.0
1.0%18.0%18.0%10.0%6.0%6.0%5.0%1.0%
MDW CommunicationsJun 12 - 15
Biss+17.0
0.0%17.0%10.0%8.0%4.0%2.0%3.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.1M
$707.9K
$354.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$0.00
$1.4M
$88.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements