Prediction Edge
Republican
Phil Lyman

Phil Lyman

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Utah

Live Odds — UT-03 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$53.5KJUN 24, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationUtah

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BackgroundAccountant

EducationBrigham Young University (B.S.)

Notable personal detailsPhil Lyman is a Utah Republican politician and accountant who served as a member of the Utah House of Representatives and previously served as a San Juan County commissioner. He has been active in public-lands and federalism debates in Utah and ran for governor of Utah in 2024. He is a candidate for Utah’s 3rd Congressional District in 2026.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports rolling back or preventing tax increases, opposes automatic tax increases and some new or higher consumer taxes, and favors alternative revenue from resource/severance taxes rather than broad tax hikes. Advocates tax relief and criticizes recent state tax cuts as not benefiting constituents enough, while proposing targeted revenue shifts tied to production and extraction.

Healthcare

Supports abolishing taxpayer-funded health care including Medicare and Medicaid and emphasizes market-based approaches and local/rural healthcare solutions.

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Immigration & Border

Phil Lyman supports a secure border and stronger state-level immigration enforcement while also advocating to streamline legal immigration and guest-worker pathways. He proposes measures to nullify ICE regulations he views as undermining local sheriffs, end Utah’s “sanctuary state” policies, and consider state actions (including National Guard deployment) to address illegal immigration if federal enforcement is inadequate.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

States that a fetus becomes an entity with individual rights at conception and supports personhood; favors restrictions on abortion (including measures such as requiring abortions to be performed only in hospitals) while opposing over‑criminalizing women and calling for proportional consequences for violations.

Climate & Energy

The candidate rejects that climate change is adversely impacting Utah and advocates leaning into coal, oil, and natural gas development while supporting expanded nuclear research; he opposes federal carbon regulations and emphasizes protecting state access to carbon‑based energy resources.

Public Safety & Guns

Phil Lyman has sponsored legislation revising firearm-possession rules that modifies the definition of a "restricted person" and the criminal-history criteria for firearm possession eligibility, and his campaign materials present a pro-Second Amendment, freedom-oriented platform. These actions indicate support for protecting gun ownership rights while working within state law.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Phil Lyman lost the Utah 3rd Congressional District Republican primary to Rep. Celeste Maloy, who was called the winner by a wide margin. Lyman has not conceded and said he wants to verify the results through statistical analysis. The race drew attention because of Trump’s limited influence in Utah, heavy outside spending, and Lyman’s anti-establishment, election-skeptical campaign.

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Endorsements

2
UT-03 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$48.0K
$36.0K
$24.0K
$12.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$48.0K
$2.1K
$50.8K
$2.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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