FL-05 Democratic nominee?
4hRachel Grage's odds are now 97%, above the previous high of 74%.
97%23%
Democrat
Rachel Grage
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Florida
$3.7K
AUG 25, 2026Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Live Odds — FL-05 Democratic nominee?
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
97%chance to win
$3.7KAUG 25, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleBiomedical engineer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyMainstream Democrat
GenderFemale
LocationFlorida
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BackgroundBiomedical engineer
EducationTulane University — B.S.E. Biomedical Engineering (1991)
Notable personal detailsRachel Grage is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 5th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She previously ran for the Florida House (District 16) in 2024. She has a background in biomedical engineering, with bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Tulane University, and has described past work researching biomechanics and cardiac interventions.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govdos.elections.myflorida.comrachelgrage.comnews4jax.comthecandidate.comvotebrevard.govlee.voteapi.open.fec.govocvote.govkalshi.comflaglerelections.govcapitolhillaccess.comrepmyblock.orgelections.maricopa.govdocquery.fec.govdelcopa.govreddit.comboe.ohio.goven.wikipedia.orglakevotes.govrachelgrae.comballotready.orgjacksonvillenow.orgeverytown.orgbluevoterguide.orgtransparencyusa.orgintegrityindex.usdos.fl.govduvaldems.orgstandwithcrypto.orgstjohnsdemocrats.orgnewsfromthestates.comflorida-candidates.comwuft.orgfacebook.cominstagram.comfloridaphoenix.comgoogle.comfloridapolitics.comfirstcoastnews.comballotpedia.orglocalcandidates.orgsenate.govhelp.senate.govdisclosures-clerk.house.govcdn.ballotpedia.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Healthcare
Supports keeping healthcare and prescription costs affordable, maintaining federal cost-sharing supports (such as subsidies), and protecting Medicare benefits. Advocates policies to stabilize coverage affordability rather than proposing a single-payer Medicare-for-All model.
Immigration & Border
Supports securing the border through smart, efficient enforcement while also maintaining a fair and humane immigration system that respects due process.
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Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports protecting access to reproductive healthcare including abortion; listed as a legislative chair for Jacksonville NOW which endorses allowing abortion before viability, creating exceptions to 6-week bans, and opposing criminalizing abortion care. Campaign materials state a commitment to protecting access to healthcare and personal privacy.
Climate & Energy
Supports bringing federal infrastructure and clean-energy dollars to North Florida, defending coastal ecosystems, expanding conservation funding, and investing in disaster resilience. Favors clean-energy investment and coastal/environmental protections while not explicitly endorsing Green New Deal–level policies in the cited materials.
Public Safety & Guns
The candidate is endorsed and supported by major gun-safety organizations and is aligned with gun safety advocacy. This indicates support for expanded gun-violence prevention measures (e.g., the positions championed by Everytown/Moms Demand Action) while running as a mainstream Democratic candidate rather than a gun-rights advocate.
Latest Candidate Updates
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Endorsements
4FL-05 Democratic nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$272.4K
$204.3K
$136.2K
$68.1K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$272.4K
$90.5K
$174.9K
$9.2K
Source: FEC
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.
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