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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Rhode Island Senate winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Raymond McKay

    Will Republicans win the Senate race in Rhode Island?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 1:44 AM UTC

Republican
Raymond McKay

Raymond McKay

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Rhode Island

Saved odds — Rhode Island Senate winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

1.1%chance to win

$64.3KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleNetwork and telecommunications manager/administrator (City of Warwick, Rhode Island)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age66 years old (Oct 11, 1960)

GenderMale

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LocationRhode Island

BackgroundNetwork and telecommunications manager/administrator (City of Warwick, Rhode Island)

EducationSaint Raphael Academy (attended), Pawtucket, Rhode Island

Notable personal detailsRaymond Tyler McKay is a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Rhode Island. He served in the U.S. Army from 1981 to 1992 and was honorably discharged at the rank of sergeant. McKay worked for the City of Warwick as a network and telecommunications manager/administrator for about 26 years and has been active in Rhode Island Republican politics, including serving as president of the Rhode Island Republican Assembly.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates for protecting individual income and free-market liberties, repealing laws he says reduce income or constrain free markets, and reducing government overreach and spending. He identifies as a constitutional conservative focused on limiting bureaucracy and ensuring Social Security funding without government raids. These positions indicate support for lower taxes and reduced government intervention in the economy rather than progressive tax increases or large-scale redistribution.

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the U.S. border and advancing a ‘‘responsible immigration policy’’ that prioritizes America’s interests while addressing illegal entry. Emphasizes stronger border security as part of broader policy priorities.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes rising energy costs and unstable gas prices and criticizes EPA proposals as harmful to union workers, framing regulatory action as overreach. Positions are framed around energy affordability and opposition to what he describes as burdensome federal regulation rather than endorsing aggressive emissions controls or major clean-energy programs.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Raymond McKay is in the news mainly because of the broader election and voting-rights fights now moving through state and federal politics. Recent reports focus on the Supreme Court reviewing a challenge to counting absentee ballots that arrive after Election Day, along with new efforts by conservative activists to pitch voter-fraud detection tools to state officials. Other coverage points to election-monitoring and polling-place restrictions being debated as the midterm season approaches, but it is not clear from the reports how directly McKay is involved.

fec.gov+41

Latest Polls

Rhode Island Senate winner?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Raymond McKay currently averages 31.8%, ranking second in this race, 23.2 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 31.8%Position: secondMargin: -23.2 ptsLatest poll: 32.0% (Oct 27 - 31)Polls included: 7

Average recalculated from polls through Oct 27 - 31.

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
31.8%
55.0%
Raymond McKay
R. McKay
Jack Reed
J. Reed
Date (Start - End)SpreadMcKayReed
Polling Average
Reed+23.2
31.8%55.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterOct 27 - 31
Reed+31.0
32.0%63.0%
Emerson CollegeOct 8 - 11
Reed+33.7
25.4%59.1%
Embold ResearchOct 5 - 8
Reed+23.0
32.0%55.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 21
Reed+20.0
33.0%53.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterAug 20 - 24
Reed+20.0
31.0%51.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJun 18 - 23
Reed+17.0
35.0%52.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterApr 16 - 20
Reed+18.0
34.0%52.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$180.5K
$135.4K
$90.2K
$45.1K
$0

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2024

$154.0K
$338.53
$153.7K
$6.4K

Cycle 2026

$180.5K
$7.6K
$173.2K
$8.7K

Source: FEC

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  • Endorsements