Prediction Edge
Democrat
Rick Larsen

Rick Larsen

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Washington

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Rick Larsen is trading at 99% to win the WA-02 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age61 years old (Jun 15, 1965)

GenderMale

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LocationWashington

BackgroundPolitician

EducationPacific Lutheran University — B.A. (1987)

Notable personal detailsRichard Ray "Rick" Larsen is a U.S. Representative from Washington, serving Washington's 2nd congressional district since January 3, 2001. Before Congress, he served on the Snohomish County Council (1998–2000). He earned a B.A. from Pacific Lutheran University and an M.P.A. from the University of Minnesota. He is married to Tiia Karlén and has two sons, Robert and Per.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports raising taxes on large corporations and strengthening IRS enforcement to close loopholes used by the very wealthy, while backing federal investments that expand social and climate-related programs. Has voted for legislation that includes a 15% corporate minimum tax and measures described as making major corporations "pay their fair share."

Healthcare

Supports protecting and strengthening the Affordable Care Act and expanding coverage by adding a public option; does not support single‑payer/Medicare for All. Emphasizes expanding access and lowering costs through a public option rather than replacing private insurance with a single‑payer system.

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Immigration & Border

Supports protections for Dreamers and asylum access, opposes measures that expand child or mass deportations, and backs comprehensive reform including pathways to legal status or citizenship. Advocates bipartisan solutions and opposes broad enforcement-first proposals such as large-scale wall construction or legislation that would severely restrict asylum. Has sponsored/co-sponsored federal immigration reform measures and issued statements opposing restrictive bills like the Child Deportation Act and actions that would roll back DACA or asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports codifying abortion rights into federal law and describes a 100% pro-choice voting record; opposes Republican measures that would restrict reproductive health care and seeks to protect reproductive freedom.

Climate & Energy

Supports addressing climate change through investments in clean energy and regional renewable development while pursuing practical, incremental federal actions rather than Green New Deal–style far-reaching legislation. Has backed climate and clean-energy legislation in the past and advocates for clean energy projects and infrastructure in Northwest Washington. Criticizes actions that cancel or cut federal support for local clean-energy projects.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal/expanded background checks, reinstating an assault weapons ban and limits on high-capacity magazines, and temporary removal of guns from individuals in crisis (red flag/ERPO-type measures).

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Rick Larsen is in the news because he is facing three challengers in Washington’s 2nd District 2026 primary. The report says the race includes Devin Hermanson, Tomas Scheel, and Edwin Feller, and it compares the candidates’ platforms, endorsements, and fundraising. Under Washington’s top-two system, the primary will decide which candidates move on to the general election.

history.house.gov+31

Endorsements

WA-02 House winner?

Endorsers of Rick Larsen for WA-02 House winner?

U.S. Chamber of Commerce Political Advocacy Committee

Political organization

U.S. Chamber of Commerce Political Advocacy Committee endorsed Rick Larsen.

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Snohomish County Executive Dave Somers

Public endorsement

Snohomish County Executive Dave Somers endorsed Rick Larsen.

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Everett School Board President Traci Mitchell

Elected official

Everett School Board President Traci Mitchell endorsed Rick Larsen.

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Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.5M
$1.8M
$1.2M
$612.5K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.7M
$260.3K
$1.8M
$73.6K

Cycle 2024

$2.5M
$247.4K
$2.5M
$102.6K

Cycle 2026

$2.0M
$652.1K
$1.6M
$86.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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