Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

NY-15 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Ritchie Torres

    Will Democratic win the House race for NY-15?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC

Democrat
Ritchie Torres

Ritchie Torres

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Saved odds — NY-15 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

97.9%chance to win

$4.9KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age38 years old (Mar 12, 1988)

GenderMale

Show more

LocationNew York

BackgroundPolitician

EducationNew York University (attended)

Notable personal detailsRitchie John Torres is a Democratic member of the U.S. House of Representatives, serving New York’s 15th Congressional District since January 3, 2021. He previously served on the New York City Council (2014–2020), including as chair of the Committee on Public Housing. Raised in the Bronx in public housing, he attended New York University but did not complete a degree. He has described his work as focused on housing, oversight, and economic opportunity.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports expanding the Child Tax Credit and other tax provisions that boost low- and middle-income families, and opposes budget deals that cut nutrition and social-safety-net programs. Emphasizes preserving revenue for public services (e.g., transit funding) and strengthening tax enforcement to prevent wealthy tax cheating.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and advocates major expansions in public coverage and protections against insurer practices; sponsors and introduces legislation to expand insurance coverage for services and to strengthen public health emergency response and patient protections.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal protections and pathways for immigrants (including Dreamers and TPS holders) and increased transparency and accountability for immigration enforcement while also backing some law‑and‑order enforcement measures. Advocates humanitarian treatment of asylum seekers and has introduced legislation to require identification and public complaint mechanisms for ICE/CBP officers. Has criticized local migrant shelter siting practices in his district while voting for certain enforcement-related bills in Congress.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports access to safe and legal abortion and reproductive justice, and calls for repeal of the Hyde Amendment that restricts abortion coverage for people on Medicaid.

Climate & Energy

Supports substantive federal climate action and clean-energy investment, emphasizes environmental justice and rebuilding resilient electric infrastructure, and backed major climate legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act. Focuses on deploying federal funds to support community-level environmental justice programs and modernize power grids in vulnerable places like Puerto Rico.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports universal/expanded background checks, closing the Charleston loophole, stronger background-check enforcement for private transfers, federal red-flag/‘extreme risk’ measures, and a national ban on assault weapons and high-capacity magazines. Advocates holding the gun industry accountable and additional federal action to reduce gun violence.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 1, 2026

Ritchie Torres is in the news mainly as a Democratic candidate and host of a Bronx event where Nancy Pelosi outlined the party’s goals for the 2026 elections, including winning back the House. More broadly, he is part of a Democratic field that is shifting its message toward anti-corruption and away from older, more controversial rhetoric like defunding the police. Recent coverage also places him in the middle of New York’s broader political debates over public safety, voting rights, and redistricting.

ritchietorres.house.gov+49

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Braun Research
80%60%40%20%0%
60%
Ritchie Torres
R. Torres
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
Braun ResearchMay 10, 2026
–60.0%
Siena CollegeJun 26, 2025
–10.0%
Siena CollegeJun 26, 2025
–10.0%
Siena CollegeMay 15, 2025
–10.0%
Siena CollegeMay 15, 2025
–10.0%
GrayhouseApr 24, 2025
–7.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$14.0M
$10.5M
$7.0M
$3.5M
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$4.4M
$3.9M
$944.7K
$39.4K

Cycle 2024

$9.2M
$11.4M
$1.7M
$69.8K

Cycle 2026

$6.9M
$14.0M
$4.3M
$241.4K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements