Prediction Edge
RepublicanIncumbent
Robert Aderholt

Robert Aderholt

Latest Insights

AL-04 Republican nominee?

20d

Robert Aderholt’s nomination odds remain near 99%, with Tommy Barnes still in low-single digits. For traders, the market is now heavily concentrated around Aderholt, leaving limited upside in the favorite but still some residual upset optionality in Barnes.

99%1%

AL-04 Republican nominee?

20d

Robert Aderholt’s nomination odds jumped to about 99%, while Tommy Barnes remains a distant longshot. That kind of late repricing can matter for traders because it sharply reduces the plausibility of an upset in a race that had recently shown some movement.

99%2%

Overview

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age60 years old (Jul 22, 1965)

GenderMale

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LocationAlabama

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., Birmingham-Southern College

Notable personal detailsRobert B. Aderholt is a Republican member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing Alabama’s 4th congressional district (first elected in 1996). He serves on the House Appropriations Committee and chairs the Appropriations Subcommittee on Labor, Health and Human Services, and Education, and also serves on the Agriculture and Defense subcommittees. Before Congress, he served as assistant legal advisor to Alabama Governor Fob James and as municipal judge for Haleyville, Alabama. He earned a B.A. from Birmingham-Southern College and a J.D. from Cumberland School of Law at Samford University.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and reduced regulation to promote job growth and business investment, and has promoted pro-growth tax provisions and long-term tax relief. Advocates spending restraint in appropriations work.

Healthcare

Opposes the Affordable Care Act and supports private-sector approaches to health coverage and reforms of federal programs; has participated in efforts to restrain Medicaid spending and advance market-based policies. He emphasizes protecting Medicare benefits like Part D while criticizing government mandates and supporting repeal votes.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stricter immigration enforcement and limitations on birthright citizenship; has backed legislation to increase funding and authority for immigration enforcement and condemned protests against ICE. Has sponsored or co‑sponsored bills that would restrict aspects of current immigration law and voted for supplemental appropriations increasing resources for border security and immigration enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports strong restrictions on abortion and policies that limit federal funding and access to abortion services; has sponsored or supported legislation and statements opposing chemical abortion access and taxpayer funding for abortion providers. Expresses pro-life views and seeks protections for unborn children while supporting exemptions for medical emergencies where the mother’s life is at risk.

Climate & Energy

Supports American energy independence and ‘‘common sense’’ energy policies that reject Green New Deal–style proposals while favoring fossil fuel development and market-driven energy solutions. Advocates reduced regulation and increased domestic energy production alongside support for some clean energy investment framed as part of economic growth.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports expanding gun-owner rights (including concealed-carry reciprocity), opposes new federal gun restrictions and red-flag-style confiscation without due process, and emphasizes backing law enforcement. Endorsed by the NRA and has a pro-Second Amendment voting record.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 8, 2026

Robert Aderholt is in the news because Alabama’s primary elections were affected by a court-ordered redistricting fight that has pushed some U.S. House primaries to August. The changes are part of a broader Republican effort to protect the party’s House majority in the 2026 midterm elections. The reports do not give any new personal action by Aderholt, but place him in the middle of the state’s shifting House map and election calendar.

aderholt.house.gov+42

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.5M
$1.2M
$770.4K
$385.2K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.5M
$1.2M
$1.0M
$42.8K

Cycle 2024

$1.5M
$966.9K
$1.7M
$70.5K

Cycle 2026

$832.3K
$776.5K
$1.0M
$63.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements